Ratings updated 12:09 UK time · refreshed several times a day
Serie A (Italy) · Sunday, 8 November 2026 · 11:30 UK

Napoli vs Lazio: prediction and stats

74%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
78%Napoli, league games
78%Lazio, league games
73%league
Napoli Over 1.5 in 3 straight at home
Lazio Over 1.5 in 4 straight away
51%Under 2.5 goals· close call
44%Napoli, league games
33%Lazio, league games
49%league
Napoli Over 2.5 in 3 straight at home
26%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
33%Napoli, league games
33%Lazio, league games
27%league
50%Both teams to score: Yes· close call
56%Napoli, league games
56%Lazio, league games
49%league
42%Lazio win· close call
31%Napoli
27%Draw
42%Lazio

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Napoli vs Lazio (Serie A, Italy, Sunday, 8 November 2026) 49% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with Napoli 31%, the draw 27% and Lazio 42%.

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Form this season

Napoli

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (9)56%
Home (4)75%
Away (5)40%
Home games (4)
Last 4●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game2.01.3
Won 2 · drew 1 · lost 1 · both scored in 50%

Lazio

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (9)67%
Home (4)75%
Away (5)60%
Away games (5)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game2.80.6
Won 5 · drew 0 · lost 0 · both scored in 40%

Latest results

Napoli

28 OctAMonza SerAW1–4
24 OctHAS Roma SerAD3–3
20 OctHBodo/Glimt UCLW4–3
17 OctAVenezia SerAL1–0
13 OctAVillarreal UCLL3–1
10 OctHFrosinone SerAW3–0

Lazio

27 OctASassuolo SerAW2–6
24 OctHParma SerAW2–1
18 OctAJuventus SerAW0–3
11 OctHMonza SerAW3–1
19 SeptAVenezia SerAW0–2
12 SeptHAC Milan SerAD2–2

First and second half

This gameNapoliLazioLeague
Goal in the 1st half66%72%58%66%
Goal in the 2nd half77%78%72%78%
Goal in both halves50%58%40%53%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 45% this game (league: 2nd half 46%).

This game = our chance. Napoli: last 50 games, Lazio: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

18 Apr 26Napoli 0–2 LazioU2.5
4 Jan 26Lazio 0–2 NapoliU2.5
15 Feb 25Lazio 2–2 NapoliO2.5
8 Dec 24Napoli 0–1 LazioU2.5
5 Dec 24Lazio 3–1 NapoliO2.5
28 Jan 24Lazio 0–0 NapoliU2.5

More: Napoli season stats · Lazio season stats · Serie A (Italy) table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.