Ratings updated 15:50 UK time · refreshed several times a day
Serie A (Italy) · Sunday, 8 November 2026 · 14:00 UK

Monza vs Atalanta: prediction and stats

78%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
100%Monza, league games
89%Atalanta, league games
73%league
Monza Over 1.5 in 8 straight at home
Atalanta Over 1.5 in 5 straight away
55%Over 2.5 goals· likely
89%Monza, league games
78%Atalanta, league games
51%league
Monza Over 2.5 in 5 straight at home
Monza Over 2.5 in 6 consecutive matches (all venues)
32%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
78%Monza, league games
44%Atalanta, league games
27%league
56%Both teams to score: Yes· likely
89%Monza, league games
78%Atalanta, league games
49%league
41%Atalanta win· close call
36%Monza
24%Draw
41%Atalanta

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Monza vs Atalanta (Serie A, Italy, Sunday, 8 November 2026) 55% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with Monza 36%, the draw 24% and Atalanta 41%.

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Form this season

Monza

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (9)89%
Home (4)100%
Away (5)80%
Home games (4)
Last 4●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game2.32.0
Won 2 · drew 0 · lost 2 · both scored in 75%

Atalanta

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (9)78%
Home (5)80%
Away (4)75%
Away games (4)
Last 4●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.32.3
Won 0 · drew 1 · lost 3 · both scored in 75%

Latest results

Monza

28 OctHNapoli SerAL1–4
23 OctATorino SerAL3–2
19 OctHCagliari SerAW4–0
11 OctALazio SerAL3–1
18 SeptHSassuolo SerAW2–1
13 SeptALecce SerAL3–2

Atalanta

29 OctAFiorentina SerAD2–2
25 OctHFrosinone SerAD4–4
22 OctAAjax UECLL2–0
18 OctAAC Milan SerAL3–2
15 OctHPafos UECLW3–1
12 OctHVenezia SerAW3–1

First and second half

This gameMonzaAtalantaLeague
Goal in the 1st half67%68%70%66%
Goal in the 2nd half80%86%84%78%
Goal in both halves57%58%60%53%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 46% this game (league: 2nd half 46%).

This game = our chance. Monza: last 50 games, Atalanta: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

4 May 25Monza 0–4 AtalantaO2.5
30 Oct 24Atalanta 2–0 MonzaU2.5
21 Apr 24Monza 1–2 AtalantaO2.5
2 Sept 23Atalanta 3–0 MonzaO2.5
4 Jun 23Atalanta 5–2 MonzaO2.5
5 Sept 22Monza 0–2 AtalantaU2.5

More: Monza season stats · Atalanta season stats · Serie A (Italy) table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.