Ratings updated 18:07 UK time · refreshed several times a day
Ekstraklasa · Sunday, 8 November 2026 · 16:30 UK

Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa: prediction and stats

76%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
85%Legia Warszawa, league games
92%Raków Częstochowa, league games
77%league
Legia Warszawa Over 1.5 in 7 straight at home
Raków Częstochowa Over 1.5 in 3 straight away
52%Over 2.5 goals· close call
38%Legia Warszawa, league games
92%Raków Częstochowa, league games
56%league
Raków Częstochowa Over 2.5 in 3 straight away
Raków Częstochowa Over 2.5 in 6 consecutive matches (all venues)
31%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
31%Legia Warszawa, league games
33%Raków Częstochowa, league games
33%league
61%Both teams to score: Yes· likely
69%Legia Warszawa, league games
92%Raków Częstochowa, league games
61%league
Raków Częstochowa BTTS (GG) in 3 straight away
Raków Częstochowa BTTS (GG) in 6 consecutive matches (all venues)
52%Legia Warszawa win· close call
52%Legia Warszawa
25%Draw
23%Raków Częstochowa

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa (Ekstraklasa, Sunday, 8 November 2026) 52% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with Legia Warszawa 52%, the draw 25% and Raków Częstochowa 23%.

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Form this season

Legia Warszawa

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (13)38%
Home (6)50%
Away (7)29%
Home games (6)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game2.20.8
Won 3 · drew 2 · lost 1 · both scored in 67%

Raków Częstochowa

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (12)92%
Home (6)100%
Away (6)83%
Away games (6)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.21.8
Won 1 · drew 0 · lost 5 · both scored in 83%

Latest results

Legia Warszawa

30 OctAGornik Zabrze EkstrD0–0
25 OctHLech Poznan EkstrL1–2
17 OctACracovia Krakow EkstrD1–1
11 OctHWisla Krakow EkstrW2–0
20 SeptAJagiellonia EkstrW1–3
13 SeptHWidzew Łódź EkstrD1–1

Raków Częstochowa

24 OctAWisla Krakow EkstrL2–1
16 OctAWieczysta Kraków EkstrW1–2
9 OctHGKS Katowice EkstrL1–4
19 SeptAKorona Kielce EkstrL3–2
15 SeptHZaglebie Lubin EkstrL2–3
11 SeptHMotor Lublin EkstrW2–1

First and second half

This gameLegia WarszawaRaków CzęstochowaLeague
Goal in the 1st half72%80%66%71%
Goal in the 2nd half78%68%86%78%
Goal in both halves57%54%60%57%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 45% this game (league: 2nd half 45%).

This game = our chance. Legia Warszawa: last 50 games, Raków Częstochowa: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

22 Mar 26Legia Warszawa 1–1 Raków CzęstochowaU2.5
20 Sept 25Raków Częstochowa 1–1 Legia WarszawaU2.5
16 Mar 25Raków Częstochowa 3–2 Legia WarszawaO2.5
15 Sept 24Legia Warszawa 0–1 Raków CzęstochowaU2.5
13 Apr 24Raków Częstochowa 1–1 Legia WarszawaU2.5
8 Oct 23Legia Warszawa 1–2 Raków CzęstochowaO2.5

More: Legia Warszawa season stats · Raków Częstochowa season stats · Ekstraklasa table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.