Ratings updated 21:07 UK time · refreshed several times a day

Ekstraklasa · Sunday, 8 November 2026 · 19:15 UK

Lech Poznan vs Zaglebie Lubin: prediction and stats

Over 1.5Over 2.5Over 3.5BTTS (GG)W/D/L

82%Over 1.5 goals· very likely

83%Lech Poznan, league games

75%Zaglebie Lubin, league games

77%league

Lech Poznan Over 1.5 in 5 straight at home

Zaglebie Lubin Over 1.5 in 4 straight away

61%Over 2.5 goals· likely

83%Lech Poznan, league games

50%Zaglebie Lubin, league games

57%league

Zaglebie Lubin Over 2.5 in 3 straight away

40%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar

42%Lech Poznan, league games

33%Zaglebie Lubin, league games

33%league

Zaglebie Lubin Over 3.5 in 3 straight away

62%Both teams to score: Yes· likely

75%Lech Poznan, league games

58%Zaglebie Lubin, league games

61%league

Lech Poznan BTTS (GG) in 3 straight at home

Zaglebie Lubin BTTS (GG) in 4 straight away

62%Lech Poznan win· likely

62%Lech Poznan

19%Draw

19%Zaglebie Lubin

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Lech Poznan vs Zaglebie Lubin (Ekstraklasa, Sunday, 8 November 2026) 61% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with Lech Poznan 62%, the draw 19% and Zaglebie Lubin 19%.

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Form this season

Lech Poznan

Over 2.5 this season · league games

All (12)83%

Home (7)71%

Away (5)100%

Home games (7)

Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5

	For	Against
Goals a game	2.9	0.6

Won 6 · drew 1 · lost 0 · both scored in 57%

Zaglebie Lubin

Over 2.5 this season · league games

All (12)50%

Home (6)33%

Away (6)67%

Away games (6)

Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5

	For	Against
Goals a game	1.3	1.8

Won 1 · drew 3 · lost 2 · both scored in 83%

Latest results

Lech Poznan

31 OctHWisla Krakow EkstrW3–1

25 OctALegia Warszawa EkstrW1–2

22 OctHSunderland UELD1–1

18 OctHKorona Kielce EkstrW6–1

15 OctHBayer Leverkusen UELL0–4

10 OctASlask Wroclaw EkstrW1–4

Zaglebie Lubin

23 OctAMotor Lublin EkstrD2–2

18 OctHJagiellonia EkstrW1–0

10 OctACracovia Krakow EkstrL3–1

20 SeptHWisla Plock EkstrL0–2

15 SeptARaków Częstochowa EkstrW2–3

12 SeptHGKS Katowice EkstrW2–1

First and second half

	This game	Lech Poznan	Zaglebie Lubin	League
Goal in the 1st half	72%	76%	70%	71%
Goal in the 2nd half	78%	82%	70%	78%
Goal in both halves	58%	64%	52%	57%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 44% this game (league: 2nd half 45%).

This game = our chance. Lech Poznan: last 50 games, Zaglebie Lubin: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

15 Mar 26Zaglebie Lubin 0–1 Lech PoznanU2.5

12 Sept 25Lech Poznan 1–2 Zaglebie LubinO2.5

23 Feb 25Lech Poznan 3–1 Zaglebie LubinO2.5

17 Aug 24Zaglebie Lubin 0–1 Lech PoznanU2.5

10 Feb 24Lech Poznan 2–0 Zaglebie LubinU2.5

6 Aug 23Zaglebie Lubin 1–1 Lech PoznanU2.5

More: Lech Poznan season stats · Zaglebie Lubin season stats · Ekstraklasa table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.