Ratings updated 15:50 UK time · refreshed several times a day
Serie A (Italy) · Sunday, 8 November 2026 · 14:00 UK

Genoa vs AC Milan: prediction and stats

75%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
78%Genoa, league games
100%AC Milan, league games
73%league
AC Milan Over 1.5 in 9 straight away
50%Over 2.5 goals· close call
33%Genoa, league games
56%AC Milan, league games
51%league
25%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
11%Genoa, league games
33%AC Milan, league games
27%league
51%Both teams to score: Yes· close call
44%Genoa, league games
67%AC Milan, league games
49%league
55%AC Milan win· likely
20%Genoa
25%Draw
55%AC Milan

The model reads goals, not team news.

Was this page useful?

CompactStats rates Genoa vs AC Milan (Serie A, Italy, Sunday, 8 November 2026) 50% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with Genoa 20%, the draw 25% and AC Milan 55%.

Open this match in the app →

In the app: live scores, every market including half-time goals, filters by league, cup and venue, and a slip you can share.

Form this season

Genoa

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (9)33%
Home (6)33%
Away (3)33%
Home games (6)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.21.3
Won 3 · drew 1 · lost 2 · both scored in 50%

AC Milan

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (9)56%
Home (4)75%
Away (5)40%
Away games (5)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.61.0
Won 2 · drew 3 · lost 0 · both scored in 80%

Latest results

Genoa

28 OctHJuventus SerAW2–0
25 OctHVenezia SerAW1–0
17 OctAAS Roma SerAL2–0
10 OctHFiorentina SerAW2–1
20 SeptAParma SerAL2–1
15 SeptHSudtirol CoppaW1–0

AC Milan

28 OctHBologna SerAL2–4
25 OctAUdinese SerAW0–2
22 OctABournemouth UELL3–0
18 OctHAtalanta SerAW3–2
15 OctARed Bull Salzburg UELW0–4
11 OctASassuolo SerAD1–1

First and second half

This gameGenoaAC MilanLeague
Goal in the 1st half66%68%62%66%
Goal in the 2nd half79%78%86%78%
Goal in both halves53%56%52%53%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 45% this game (league: 2nd half 46%).

This game = our chance. Genoa: last 50 games, AC Milan: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

17 May 26Genoa 1–2 AC MilanO2.5
8 Jan 26AC Milan 1–1 GenoaU2.5
5 May 25Genoa 1–2 AC MilanO2.5
15 Dec 24AC Milan 0–0 GenoaU2.5
5 May 24AC Milan 3–3 GenoaO2.5
7 Oct 23Genoa 0–1 AC MilanU2.5

More: Genoa season stats · AC Milan season stats · Serie A (Italy) table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.