Ratings updated 12:09 UK time · refreshed several times a day
Virsliga · Sunday, 8 November 2026 · 11:00 UK

FS Jelgava vs Ogre United: prediction and stats

76%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
65%FS Jelgava, league games
88%Ogre United, league games
76%league
52%Over 2.5 goals· close call
41%FS Jelgava, league games
68%Ogre United, league games
54%league
34%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
29%FS Jelgava, league games
50%Ogre United, league games
35%league
53%Both teams to score: Yes· close call
41%FS Jelgava, league games
65%Ogre United, league games
56%league
48%FS Jelgava win· close call
48%FS Jelgava
27%Draw
25%Ogre United

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates FS Jelgava vs Ogre United (Virsliga, Sunday, 8 November 2026) 52% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with FS Jelgava 48%, the draw 27% and Ogre United 25%.

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Form this season

FS Jelgava

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (34)41%
Home (17)24%
Away (17)59%
Home games (17)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game0.81.5
Won 4 · drew 2 · lost 11 · both scored in 29%

Ogre United

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (34)68%
Home (17)59%
Away (17)76%
Away games (17)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game0.92.9
Won 2 · drew 1 · lost 14 · both scored in 59%

Latest results

FS Jelgava

25 OctHBFC Daugavpils VirslL0–1
18 OctAFK Liepaja VirslL3–0
11 OctARīgas FS VirslL4–2
19 SeptHRiga VirslL0–1
12 SeptAGrobiņa VirslD0–0
5 SeptHSuper Nova VirslL0–1

Ogre United

25 OctHAuda VirslL1–4
17 OctAGrobiņa VirslL3–2
11 OctHBFC Daugavpils VirslL1–2
20 SeptHSuper Nova VirslW1–0
16 SeptAAuda VirslL1–0
11 SeptHFK Liepaja VirslD2–2

First and second half

This gameFS JelgavaOgre UnitedLeague
Goal in the 1st half76%76%85%72%
Goal in the 2nd half81%74%88%82%
Goal in both halves62%56%74%60%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 43% this game (league: 2nd half 43%).

This game = our chance. FS Jelgava: last 50 games, Ogre United: last 34 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

22 Aug 26Ogre United 2–3 FS JelgavaO2.5
17 Jun 26FS Jelgava 0–2 Ogre UnitedU2.5
27 Apr 26Ogre United 0–1 FS JelgavaU2.5

More: FS Jelgava season stats · Ogre United season stats · Virsliga table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.