Ratings updated 21:07 UK time · refreshed several times a day

Primeira Liga · Sunday, 8 November 2026 · 20:30 UK

Estrela vs Benfica: prediction and stats

Over 1.5Over 2.5Over 3.5BTTS (GG)W/D/L

83%Over 1.5 goals· very likely

90%Estrela, league games

100%Benfica, league games

75%league

Estrela Over 1.5 in 5 straight at home

Benfica Over 1.5 in 10 straight away

62%Over 2.5 goals· likely

70%Estrela, league games

89%Benfica, league games

57%league

Benfica Over 2.5 in 3 straight away

40%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar

50%Estrela, league games

56%Benfica, league games

34%league

52%Both teams to score: Yes· close call

70%Estrela, league games

56%Benfica, league games

50%league

Benfica BTTS (GG) in 3 straight away

78%Benfica win· very likely

8%Estrela

14%Draw

78%Benfica

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Estrela vs Benfica (Primeira Liga, Sunday, 8 November 2026) 62% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with Estrela 8%, the draw 14% and Benfica 78%.

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Form this season

Estrela

Over 2.5 this season · league games

All (10)70%

Home (5)60%

Away (5)80%

Home games (5)

Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5

	For	Against
Goals a game	1.2	1.8

Won 1 · drew 2 · lost 2 · both scored in 60%

Benfica

Over 2.5 this season · league games

All (9)89%

Home (4)75%

Away (5)100%

Away games (5)

Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5

	For	Against
Goals a game	3.4	0.8

Won 4 · drew 0 · lost 1 · both scored in 40%

Latest results

Estrela

31 OctAMoreirense PrimL2–1

24 OctHCasa Pia PrimL0–2

17 OctAFazendense TaçaW1–2

11 OctAArouca PrimL1–0

20 SeptHAcademico Viseu PrimL0–2

14 SeptARio Ave PrimD3–3

Benfica

26 OctASanta Clara PrimW1–2

22 OctAOmonia Nicosia UELW1–4

15 OctHCeltic UELW4–1

11 OctHVitória SC PrimW2–0

20 SeptAFC Porto PrimL3–1

16 SeptAAC Milan UELW0–2

First and second half

	This game	Estrela	Benfica	League
Goal in the 1st half	72%	68%	84%	69%
Goal in the 2nd half	80%	80%	84%	79%
Goal in both halves	61%	58%	70%	55%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 44% this game (league: 2nd half 44%).

This game = our chance. Estrela: last 50 games, Benfica: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

25 Jan 26Benfica 4–0 EstrelaO2.5

16 Aug 25Estrela 0–1 BenficaU2.5

2 Feb 25Estrela 2–3 BenficaO2.5

23 Nov 24Benfica 7–0 EstrelaO2.5

24 Aug 24Benfica 1–0 EstrelaU2.5

29 Jan 24Estrela 1–4 BenficaO2.5

More: Estrela season stats · Benfica season stats · Primeira Liga table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.