Ratings updated 18:06 UK time · refreshed several times a day
Primeira Liga · Sunday, 8 November 2026 · 15:30 UK

Estoril vs Maritimo: prediction and stats

79%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
78%Estoril, league games
89%Maritimo, league games
75%league
Maritimo Over 1.5 in 6 straight away
56%Over 2.5 goals· likely
44%Estoril, league games
78%Maritimo, league games
57%league
35%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
11%Estoril, league games
33%Maritimo, league games
34%league
54%Both teams to score: Yes· close call
56%Estoril, league games
67%Maritimo, league games
50%league
47%Estoril win· close call
47%Estoril
25%Draw
28%Maritimo

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Estoril vs Maritimo (Primeira Liga, Sunday, 8 November 2026) 56% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with Estoril 47%, the draw 25% and Maritimo 28%.

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Form this season

Estoril

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (9)44%
Home (5)40%
Away (4)50%
Home games (5)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game0.61.6
Won 0 · drew 2 · lost 3 · both scored in 60%

Maritimo

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (9)78%
Home (4)75%
Away (5)80%
Away games (5)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.02.4
Won 1 · drew 1 · lost 3 · both scored in 80%

Latest results

Estoril

25 OctHMoreirense PrimL1–3
18 OctASalgueiros TaçaD1–1
10 OctAAcademico Viseu PrimL2–1
20 SeptHCasa Pia PrimL1–2
14 SeptASC Braga PrimL1–0
7 SeptHArouca PrimD0–0

Maritimo

23 OctAVitória SC PrimL5–0
18 OctAAlcochetense TaçaW1–2
10 OctHFC Porto PrimL1–2
19 SeptAGIL Vicente PrimD1–1
14 SeptAMoreirense PrimL3–1
5 SeptHBenfica PrimL0–3

First and second half

This gameEstorilMaritimoLeague
Goal in the 1st half71%82%66%70%
Goal in the 2nd half81%82%88%79%
Goal in both halves59%68%56%55%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 43% this game (league: 2nd half 44%).

This game = our chance. Estoril: last 50 games, Maritimo: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

27 May 23Estoril 3–1 MaritimoO2.5
22 Jan 23Maritimo 1–0 EstorilU2.5
5 Feb 22Maritimo 0–0 EstorilU2.5
27 Aug 21Estoril 2–1 MaritimoO2.5

More: Estoril season stats · Maritimo season stats · Primeira Liga table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.