Ratings updated 15:50 UK time · refreshed several times a day
Premier League · Sunday, 8 November 2026 · 14:00 UK

Brighton vs Brentford: prediction and stats

79%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
100%Brighton, league games
100%Brentford, league games
79%league
Brighton Over 1.5 in 10 straight at home
Brentford Over 1.5 in 10 straight away
56%Over 2.5 goals· likely
63%Brighton, league games
63%Brentford, league games
57%league
Brighton Over 2.5 in 3 straight at home
32%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
50%Brighton, league games
25%Brentford, league games
32%league
55%Both teams to score: Yes· likely
25%Brighton, league games
75%Brentford, league games
57%league
Brentford BTTS (GG) in 8 straight away
64%Brighton win· likely
64%Brighton
21%Draw
15%Brentford

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Brighton vs Brentford (Premier League, Sunday, 8 November 2026) 56% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with Brighton 64%, the draw 21% and Brentford 15%.

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Form this season

Brighton

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (8)63%
Home (4)75%
Away (4)50%
Home games (4)
Last 4●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game3.30.3
Won 3 · drew 1 · lost 0 · both scored in 25%

Brentford

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (8)63%
Home (4)75%
Away (4)50%
Away games (4)
Last 4●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.51.5
Won 0 · drew 4 · lost 0 · both scored in 100%

Latest results

Brighton

28 OctAManchester City EFL CupD2–2
25 OctALiverpool PremL2–0
22 OctAFK Jablonec UECLD0–0
18 OctHCrystal Palace PremW5–0
15 OctHKauno Žalgiris UECLW4–0
10 OctASunderland PremW0–2

Brentford

28 OctASunderland EFL CupL3–2
25 OctAHull City PremD1–1
17 OctHLiverpool PremL1–2
10 OctAAston Villa PremD2–2
18 SeptHChelsea PremW3–0
15 SeptAReading EFL CupW1–2

First and second half

This gameBrightonBrentfordLeague
Goal in the 1st half72%76%74%70%
Goal in the 2nd half81%82%84%80%
Goal in both halves62%66%66%56%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 44% this game (league: 2nd half 46%).

This game = our chance. Brighton: last 50 games, Brentford: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

21 Feb 26Brentford 0–2 BrightonU2.5
22 Nov 25Brighton 2–1 BrentfordO2.5
19 Apr 25Brentford 4–2 BrightonO2.5
27 Dec 24Brighton 0–0 BrentfordU2.5
3 Apr 24Brentford 0–0 BrightonU2.5
6 Dec 23Brighton 2–1 BrentfordO2.5

More: Brighton season stats · Brentford season stats · Premier League table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.