Ratings updated 18:07 UK time · refreshed several times a day
Eredivisie · Sunday, 8 November 2026 · 15:45 UK

AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen: prediction and stats

86%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
90%AZ Alkmaar, league games
100%Groningen, league games
87%league
Groningen Over 1.5 in 10 straight away
67%Over 2.5 goals· likely
40%AZ Alkmaar, league games
90%Groningen, league games
66%league
44%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
40%AZ Alkmaar, league games
70%Groningen, league games
45%league
66%Both teams to score: Yes· likely
50%AZ Alkmaar, league games
90%Groningen, league games
66%league
Groningen BTTS (GG) in 5 straight away
44%AZ Alkmaar win· close call
44%AZ Alkmaar
22%Draw
34%Groningen

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen (Eredivisie, Sunday, 8 November 2026) 67% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with AZ Alkmaar 44%, the draw 22% and Groningen 34%.

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Form this season

AZ Alkmaar

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (10)40%
Home (5)20%
Away (5)60%
Home games (5)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.81.0
Won 3 · drew 1 · lost 1 · both scored in 40%

Groningen

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (10)90%
Home (5)100%
Away (5)80%
Away games (5)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game2.62.0
Won 2 · drew 2 · lost 1 · both scored in 100%

Latest results

AZ Alkmaar

25 OctHTwente EreL0–2
22 OctAArarat-Armenia UELW0–4
18 OctACambuur EreD2–2
15 OctHHapoel Beer Sheva UELW2–1
10 OctAFeyenoord EreL2–0
20 SeptHTelstar EreW1–0

Groningen

29 OctHEmmen KNVBL0–2
25 OctANEC Nijmegen EreD2–2
18 OctHAjax EreL2–5
11 OctAExcelsior EreW1–5
18 SeptHPEC Zwolle EreW3–0
12 SeptAGO Ahead Eagles EreD1–1

First and second half

This gameAZ AlkmaarGroningenLeague
Goal in the 1st half77%66%78%80%
Goal in the 2nd half87%88%92%85%
Goal in both halves67%58%74%69%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 45% this game (league: 2nd half 45%).

This game = our chance. AZ Alkmaar: last 50 games, Groningen: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

22 Mar 26Groningen 3–0 AZ AlkmaarO2.5
10 Aug 25AZ Alkmaar 4–1 GroningenO2.5
11 May 25AZ Alkmaar 3–0 GroningenO2.5
18 Dec 24AZ Alkmaar 3–1 GroningenO2.5
25 Aug 24Groningen 0–0 AZ AlkmaarU2.5
11 Mar 23AZ Alkmaar 1–0 GroningenU2.5

More: AZ Alkmaar season stats · Groningen season stats · Eredivisie table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.