Ratings updated 18:07 UK time · refreshed several times a day
Eredivisie · Sunday, 8 November 2026 · 15:45 UK
AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen: prediction and stats
86%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
90%AZ Alkmaar, league games
100%Groningen, league games
87%league
Groningen Over 1.5 in 10 straight away
67%Over 2.5 goals· likely
40%AZ Alkmaar, league games
90%Groningen, league games
66%league
44%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
40%AZ Alkmaar, league games
70%Groningen, league games
45%league
66%Both teams to score: Yes· likely
50%AZ Alkmaar, league games
90%Groningen, league games
66%league
Groningen BTTS (GG) in 5 straight away
44%AZ Alkmaar win· close call
44%AZ Alkmaar
22%Draw
34%Groningen
The model reads goals, not team news.
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CompactStats rates AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen (Eredivisie, Sunday, 8 November 2026) 67% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with AZ Alkmaar 44%, the draw 22% and Groningen 34%.
Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.
What our percentages mean
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.