Ratings updated 06:05 UK time · refreshed several times a day
A-League · Sunday, 8 November 2026 · 06:00 UK

Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory: prediction and stats

81%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
100%Adelaide United, league games
100%Melbourne Victory, league games
78%league
Adelaide United Over 1.5 in 10 straight at home
Melbourne Victory Over 1.5 in 6 straight away
60%Over 2.5 goals· likely
100%Adelaide United, league games
50%Melbourne Victory, league games
59%league
37%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
0%Adelaide United, league games
0%Melbourne Victory, league games
36%league
63%Both teams to score: Yes· likely
100%Adelaide United, league games
100%Melbourne Victory, league games
62%league
45%Adelaide United win· close call
45%Adelaide United
24%Draw
31%Melbourne Victory

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory (A-League, Sunday, 8 November 2026) 60% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with Adelaide United 45%, the draw 24% and Melbourne Victory 31%.

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Form this season

Adelaide United

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (1)100%
Home (0)–
Away (1)100%
Home games (0)

Melbourne Victory

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (2)50%
Home (1)0%
Away (1)100%
Away games (1)
Last 1●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.02.0
Won 0 · drew 0 · lost 1 · both scored in 100%

Latest results

Adelaide United

25 OctASydney ALeagL2–1
11 AugHCông An Nhân Dân ACLL0–2
15 MayHAuckland ALeagL0–3
9 MayAAuckland ALeagD1–1
26 AprAMelbourne City ALeagW1–2
19 AprHMacarthur ALeagW3–1

Melbourne Victory

24 OctHMelbourne City ALeagD1–1
18 OctAWellington Phoenix ALeagL2–1
2 MayHSydney ALeagL0–1
25 AprAWestern Sydney Wanderers ALeagW0–2
17 AprHNewcastle Jets ALeagD2–2
11 AprAAuckland ALeagD2–2

First and second half

This gameAdelaide UnitedMelbourne VictoryLeague
Goal in the 1st half74%82%68%73%
Goal in the 2nd half84%94%82%82%
Goal in both halves64%78%56%60%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 44% this game (league: 2nd half 44%).

This game = our chance. Adelaide United: last 50 games, Melbourne Victory: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

27 Feb 26Melbourne Victory 1–1 Adelaide UnitedU2.5
17 Jan 26Adelaide United 2–1 Melbourne VictoryO2.5
13 Dec 25Melbourne Victory 2–1 Adelaide UnitedO2.5
29 Mar 25Melbourne Victory 5–3 Adelaide UnitedO2.5
18 Jan 25Adelaide United 3–2 Melbourne VictoryO2.5
9 Mar 24Adelaide United 1–2 Melbourne VictoryO2.5

More: Adelaide United season stats · Melbourne Victory season stats · A-League table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.