Ratings updated 15:50 UK time · refreshed several times a day
Bundesliga (Germany) · Sunday, 8 November 2026 · 14:30 UK

1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen: prediction and stats

85%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
71%1. FC Köln, league games
100%Bayer Leverkusen, league games
83%league
Bayer Leverkusen Over 1.5 in 9 straight away
66%Over 2.5 goals· likely
57%1. FC Köln, league games
86%Bayer Leverkusen, league games
68%league
46%Over 3.5 goals· close call
29%1. FC Köln, league games
57%Bayer Leverkusen, league games
47%league
65%Both teams to score: Yes· likely
71%1. FC Köln, league games
57%Bayer Leverkusen, league games
63%league
41%1. FC Köln win· close call
41%1. FC Köln
22%Draw
36%Bayer Leverkusen

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates 1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen (Bundesliga, Germany, Sunday, 8 November 2026) 66% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 1. FC Köln 41%, the draw 22% and Bayer Leverkusen 36%.

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Form this season

1. FC Köln

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (7)57%
Home (4)50%
Away (3)67%
Home games (4)
Last 4●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.51.0
Won 2 · drew 2 · lost 0 · both scored in 75%

Bayer Leverkusen

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (7)86%
Home (3)67%
Away (4)100%
Away games (4)
Last 4●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game2.02.8
Won 1 · drew 1 · lost 2 · both scored in 75%

Latest results

1. FC Köln

27 OctHUnion Berlin PokalW5–0
24 OctHFC Schalke 04 BundD0–0
16 OctAEintracht Frankfurt BundL1–0
11 OctHBorussia Mönchengladbach BundW2–1
19 SeptAHamburger SV BundL2–1
12 SeptHWerder Bremen BundD1–1

Bayer Leverkusen

28 OctH1. FC Nürnberg PokalW5–2
25 OctA1899 Hoffenheim BundL3–0
22 OctAOFI UELW0–2
18 OctHSC Freiburg BundW2–1
15 OctALech Poznan UELW0–4
10 OctAFSV Mainz 05 BundW3–4

First and second half

This game1. FC KölnBayer LeverkusenLeague
Goal in the 1st half76%70%82%77%
Goal in the 2nd half85%88%78%86%
Goal in both halves63%60%62%67%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 46% this game (league: 2nd half 48%).

This game = our chance. 1. FC Köln: last 50 games, Bayer Leverkusen: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

25 Apr 261. FC Köln 1–2 Bayer LeverkusenO2.5
13 Dec 25Bayer Leverkusen 2–0 1. FC KölnU2.5
5 Feb 25Bayer Leverkusen 2–2 1. FC KölnO2.5
3 Mar 241. FC Köln 0–2 Bayer LeverkusenU2.5
8 Oct 23Bayer Leverkusen 3–0 1. FC KölnO2.5
5 May 23Bayer Leverkusen 1–2 1. FC KölnO2.5

More: 1. FC Köln season stats · Bayer Leverkusen season stats · Bundesliga (Germany) table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.