Ratings updated 00:10 UK time · refreshed several times a day
Championship (England) · Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 15:00 UK

Watford vs Middlesbrough: prediction and stats

80%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
75%Watford, league games
83%Middlesbrough, league games
76%league
Watford Over 1.5 in 7 straight at home
Middlesbrough Over 1.5 in 4 straight away
58%Over 2.5 goals· likely
42%Watford, league games
75%Middlesbrough, league games
56%league
Middlesbrough Over 2.5 in 4 straight away
34%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
17%Watford, league games
58%Middlesbrough, league games
31%league
Middlesbrough Over 3.5 in 3 straight away
61%Both teams to score: Yes· likely
50%Watford, league games
83%Middlesbrough, league games
60%league
Middlesbrough BTTS (GG) in 3 straight away
52%Middlesbrough win· close call
25%Watford
23%Draw
52%Middlesbrough

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Watford vs Middlesbrough (Championship, England, Saturday, 7 November 2026) 58% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with Watford 25%, the draw 23% and Middlesbrough 52%.

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Form this season

Watford

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (12)42%
Home (6)67%
Away (6)17%
Home games (6)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.31.5
Won 3 · drew 1 · lost 2 · both scored in 67%

Middlesbrough

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (12)75%
Home (6)83%
Away (6)67%
Away games (6)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game2.21.3
Won 3 · drew 2 · lost 1 · both scored in 83%

Latest results

Watford

24 OctAWolves ChampL1–0
17 OctHCharlton ChampW2–0
13 OctACardiff ChampL5–1
10 OctHBurnley ChampL0–4
18 SeptABristol City ChampL1–0
12 SeptHStoke City ChampL1–2

Middlesbrough

23 OctABolton ChampW1–5
17 OctHCardiff ChampD2–2
13 OctAStoke City ChampW2–3
10 OctHWolves ChampW1–0
19 SeptABirmingham ChampD2–2
15 SeptHMillwall ChampD2–2

First and second half

This gameWatfordMiddlesbroughLeague
Goal in the 1st half73%74%72%73%
Goal in the 2nd half77%76%80%77%
Goal in both halves57%54%60%56%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 42% this game (league: 2nd half 41%).

This game = our chance. Watford: last 50 games, Middlesbrough: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

25 Apr 26Middlesbrough 5–1 WatfordO2.5
1 Nov 25Watford 3–0 MiddlesbroughO2.5
15 Feb 25Middlesbrough 0–1 WatfordU2.5
5 Oct 24Watford 2–1 MiddlesbroughO2.5
4 May 24Middlesbrough 3–1 WatfordO2.5
30 Sept 23Watford 2–3 MiddlesbroughO2.5

More: Watford season stats · Middlesbrough season stats · Championship (England) table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.