Ratings updated 00:10 UK time · refreshed several times a day
La Liga · Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 20:00 UK

Valencia vs Real Madrid: prediction and stats

78%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
50%Valencia, league games
80%Real Madrid, league games
78%league
Real Madrid Over 1.5 in 4 straight away
55%Over 2.5 goals· likely
50%Valencia, league games
80%Real Madrid, league games
54%league
Real Madrid Over 2.5 in 4 straight away
32%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
40%Valencia, league games
50%Real Madrid, league games
31%league
56%Both teams to score: Yes· likely
40%Valencia, league games
70%Real Madrid, league games
58%league
Real Madrid BTTS (GG) in 4 straight away
61%Real Madrid win· likely
17%Valencia
22%Draw
61%Real Madrid

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Valencia vs Real Madrid (La Liga, Saturday, 7 November 2026) 55% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with Valencia 17%, the draw 22% and Real Madrid 61%.

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Form this season

Valencia

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (10)50%
Home (6)50%
Away (4)50%
Home games (6)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game0.51.8
Won 0 · drew 2 · lost 4 · both scored in 33%

Real Madrid

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (10)80%
Home (5)80%
Away (5)80%
Away games (5)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.61.4
Won 3 · drew 0 · lost 2 · both scored in 80%

Latest results

Valencia

24 OctHVillarreal LaLigaL1–2
17 OctHAthletic Club LaLigaD0–0
11 OctARacing Santander LaLigaD2–2
20 SeptHReal Sociedad LaLigaL2–3
15 SeptAAlaves LaLigaW0–1
11 SeptASevilla LaLigaL1–0

Real Madrid

25 OctABarcelona LaLigaW1–2
21 OctHRB Leipzig UCLW4–1
18 OctHSevilla LaLigaW4–1
14 OctAAS Roma UCLW3–4
10 OctHVillarreal LaLigaW1–0
20 SeptAAtletico Madrid LaLigaL2–1

First and second half

This gameValenciaReal MadridLeague
Goal in the 1st half69%56%80%69%
Goal in the 2nd half84%86%90%82%
Goal in both halves58%48%70%56%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 48% this game (league: 2nd half 49%).

This game = our chance. Valencia: last 50 games, Real Madrid: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

8 Feb 26Valencia 0–2 Real MadridU2.5
1 Nov 25Real Madrid 4–0 ValenciaO2.5
5 Apr 25Real Madrid 1–2 ValenciaO2.5
3 Jan 25Valencia 1–2 Real MadridO2.5
2 Mar 24Valencia 2–2 Real MadridO2.5
11 Nov 23Real Madrid 5–1 ValenciaO2.5

More: Valencia season stats · Real Madrid season stats · La Liga table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.