Ratings updated 00:10 UK time · refreshed several times a day
Liga MX · Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 23:00 UK

Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul: prediction and stats

79%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
79%Tigres UANL, league games
86%Cruz Azul, league games
78%league
Cruz Azul Over 1.5 in 3 straight away
56%Over 2.5 goals· likely
36%Tigres UANL, league games
79%Cruz Azul, league games
57%league
Cruz Azul Over 2.5 in 3 straight away
Cruz Azul Over 2.5 in 5 consecutive matches (all venues)
35%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
29%Tigres UANL, league games
57%Cruz Azul, league games
36%league
62%Both teams to score: Yes· likely
57%Tigres UANL, league games
71%Cruz Azul, league games
61%league
Cruz Azul BTTS (GG) in 3 straight away
40%Tigres UANL win· close call
40%Tigres UANL
25%Draw
35%Cruz Azul

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul (Liga MX, Saturday, 7 November 2026) 56% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with Tigres UANL 40%, the draw 25% and Cruz Azul 35%.

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Form this season

Tigres UANL

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (14)36%
Home (6)33%
Away (8)38%
Home games (6)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.51.2
Won 3 · drew 2 · lost 1 · both scored in 50%

Cruz Azul

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (14)79%
Home (7)71%
Away (7)86%
Away games (7)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game2.11.6
Won 4 · drew 1 · lost 2 · both scored in 86%

Latest results

Tigres UANL

25 OctAU.N.A.M. - Pumas LigaMXD1–1
21 OctHLeon LigaMXL0–2
18 OctAGuadalajara Chivas LigaMXD1–1
10 OctHToluca LigaMXW3–2
27 SeptHPuebla LigaMXW1–0
19 SeptAFC Juarez LigaMXL2–0

Cruz Azul

26 OctAClub Queretaro LigaMXW1–3
22 OctACF Pachuca LigaMXW1–2
18 OctHFC Juarez LigaMXW5–0
12 OctAU.N.A.M. - Pumas LigaMXD3–3
26 SeptHToluca LigaMXD3–3
20 SeptAMonterrey LigaMXL1–0

First and second half

This gameTigres UANLCruz AzulLeague
Goal in the 1st half72%60%82%72%
Goal in the 2nd half78%78%80%78%
Goal in both halves58%52%66%56%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 43% this game (league: 2nd half 42%).

This game = our chance. Tigres UANL: last 50 games, Cruz Azul: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

15 Feb 26Cruz Azul 2–1 Tigres UANLO2.5
7 Dec 25Tigres UANL 1–1 Cruz AzulU2.5
4 Dec 25Cruz Azul 1–1 Tigres UANLU2.5
5 Oct 25Tigres UANL 1–1 Cruz AzulU2.5
2 May 25Cruz Azul 1–0 Tigres UANLU2.5
24 Apr 25Tigres UANL 1–1 Cruz AzulU2.5

More: Tigres UANL season stats · Cruz Azul season stats · Liga MX table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.