Ratings updated 00:10 UK time · refreshed several times a day
Primeira Liga · Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 20:30 UK

Sporting CP vs Moreirense: prediction and stats

83%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
100%Sporting CP, league games
78%Moreirense, league games
75%league
Sporting CP Over 1.5 in 10 straight at home
62%Over 2.5 goals· likely
70%Sporting CP, league games
67%Moreirense, league games
57%league
Sporting CP Over 2.5 in 4 straight at home
37%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
60%Sporting CP, league games
56%Moreirense, league games
34%league
53%Both teams to score: Yes· close call
70%Sporting CP, league games
56%Moreirense, league games
50%league
Sporting CP BTTS (GG) in 4 straight at home
71%Sporting CP win· very likely
71%Sporting CP
17%Draw
12%Moreirense

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Sporting CP vs Moreirense (Primeira Liga, Saturday, 7 November 2026) 62% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with Sporting CP 71%, the draw 17% and Moreirense 12%.

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Form this season

Sporting CP

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (10)70%
Home (5)80%
Away (5)60%
Home games (5)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game2.21.4
Won 3 · drew 1 · lost 1 · both scored in 80%

Moreirense

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (9)67%
Home (4)75%
Away (5)60%
Away games (5)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.21.6
Won 2 · drew 1 · lost 2 · both scored in 60%

Latest results

Sporting CP

30 OctACasa Pia PrimW0–2
25 OctHAcademico Viseu PrimL1–2
21 OctHLask Linz UCLL2–3
13 OctALens UCLW0–2
9 OctASC Braga PrimW1–3
19 SeptHArouca PrimD2–2

Moreirense

25 OctAEstoril PrimW1–3
17 OctAAVS TaçaL1–0
9 OctHGIL Vicente PrimL0–1
20 SeptAVitória SC PrimD1–1
14 SeptHMaritimo PrimW3–1
9 SeptHBenfica PrimL0–4

First and second half

This gameSporting CPMoreirenseLeague
Goal in the 1st half69%70%68%70%
Goal in the 2nd half82%92%84%79%
Goal in both halves59%66%56%55%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 45% this game (league: 2nd half 44%).

This game = our chance. Sporting CP: last 50 games, Moreirense: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

21 Feb 26Moreirense 0–3 Sporting CPO2.5
22 Sept 25Sporting CP 3–0 MoreirenseO2.5
18 Apr 25Sporting CP 3–1 MoreirenseO2.5
5 Dec 24Moreirense 2–1 Sporting CPO2.5
19 Feb 24Moreirense 0–2 Sporting CPU2.5
17 Sept 23Sporting CP 3–0 MoreirenseO2.5

More: Sporting CP season stats · Moreirense season stats · Primeira Liga table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.