Ratings updated 00:10 UK time · refreshed several times a day
Premyer Liqa · Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 12:00 UK

Safa Baku vs Araz: prediction and stats

77%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
56%Safa Baku, league games
78%Araz, league games
72%league
Araz Over 1.5 in 7 straight away
54%Over 2.5 goals· close call
44%Safa Baku, league games
67%Araz, league games
51%league
Araz Over 2.5 in 5 straight away
31%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
22%Safa Baku, league games
33%Araz, league games
29%league
52%Both teams to score: Yes· close call
33%Safa Baku, league games
56%Araz, league games
48%league
Araz BTTS (GG) in 3 straight away
38%Araz win· close call
36%Safa Baku
25%Draw
38%Araz

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Safa Baku vs Araz (Premyer Liqa, Saturday, 7 November 2026) 54% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with Safa Baku 36%, the draw 25% and Araz 38%.

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Form this season

Safa Baku

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (9)44%
Home (4)50%
Away (5)40%
Home games (4)
Last 4●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game0.31.8
Won 0 · drew 0 · lost 4 · both scored in 25%

Araz

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (9)67%
Home (5)40%
Away (4)100%
Away games (4)
Last 4●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.03.0
Won 0 · drew 0 · lost 4 · both scored in 75%

Latest results

Safa Baku

24 OctHKapaz PremyL1–2
16 OctAŞamaxı FK PremyL3–2
11 OctHTuran PremyL0–1
18 SeptAQarabag PremyL1–0
14 SeptHSabah FA PremyL0–3
5 SeptANeftchi Baku PremyL4–1

Araz

23 OctHQabala PremyL1–2
16 OctASumqayıt PremyL2–1
9 OctHKapaz PremyL0–2
20 SeptAŞamaxı FK PremyL2–1
13 SeptHTuran PremyD2–2
6 SeptAQarabag PremyL3–2

First and second half

This gameSafa BakuArazLeague
Goal in the 1st half67%58%78%66%
Goal in the 2nd half77%76%86%74%
Goal in both halves53%45%66%49%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 46% this game (league: 2nd half 47%).

This game = our chance. Safa Baku: last 38 games, Araz: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

More: Safa Baku season stats · Araz season stats · Premyer Liqa table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.