Ratings updated 00:10 UK time · refreshed several times a day
Erovnuli Liga · Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 15:00 UK
Rustavi vs Samgurali: prediction and stats
78%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
63%Rustavi, league games
80%Samgurali, league games
75%league
Rustavi Over 1.5 in 3 straight at home
Samgurali Over 1.5 in 5 straight away
55%Over 2.5 goals· likely
40%Rustavi, league games
67%Samgurali, league games
52%league
Samgurali Over 2.5 in 5 straight away
30%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
7%Rustavi, league games
40%Samgurali, league games
28%league
57%Both teams to score: Yes· likely
43%Rustavi, league games
63%Samgurali, league games
55%league
50%Rustavi win· close call
50%Rustavi
23%Draw
27%Samgurali
The model reads goals, not team news.
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CompactStats rates Rustavi vs Samgurali (Erovnuli Liga, Saturday, 7 November 2026) 55% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with Rustavi 50%, the draw 23% and Samgurali 27%.
Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.
What our percentages mean
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.