Ratings updated 00:10 UK time · refreshed several times a day
Erovnuli Liga · Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 15:00 UK

Rustavi vs Samgurali: prediction and stats

78%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
63%Rustavi, league games
80%Samgurali, league games
75%league
Rustavi Over 1.5 in 3 straight at home
Samgurali Over 1.5 in 5 straight away
55%Over 2.5 goals· likely
40%Rustavi, league games
67%Samgurali, league games
52%league
Samgurali Over 2.5 in 5 straight away
30%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
7%Rustavi, league games
40%Samgurali, league games
28%league
57%Both teams to score: Yes· likely
43%Rustavi, league games
63%Samgurali, league games
55%league
50%Rustavi win· close call
50%Rustavi
23%Draw
27%Samgurali

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Rustavi vs Samgurali (Erovnuli Liga, Saturday, 7 November 2026) 55% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with Rustavi 50%, the draw 23% and Samgurali 27%.

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Form this season

Rustavi

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (30)40%
Home (15)47%
Away (15)33%
Home games (15)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.40.9
Won 10 · drew 0 · lost 5 · both scored in 33%

Samgurali

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (30)67%
Home (15)60%
Away (15)73%
Away games (15)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.32.3
Won 4 · drew 2 · lost 9 · both scored in 67%

Latest results

Rustavi

23 OctHDinamo Tbilisi ErovnL0–2
18 OctATorpedo Kutaisi ErovnW0–1
10 OctHDila ErovnW3–1
21 SeptHFC Iberia 1999 ErovnL0–2
14 SeptAMeshakhte ErovnW0–1
9 SeptASpaeri ErovnD1–1

Samgurali

24 OctADinamo Batumi ErovnL3–0
17 OctHMeshakhte ErovnW2–0
11 OctHGagra ErovnW3–0
19 SeptHDinamo Tbilisi ErovnL2–3
14 SeptATorpedo Kutaisi ErovnL3–2
9 SeptHDila ErovnL1–3

First and second half

This gameRustaviSamguraliLeague
Goal in the 1st half69%63%76%68%
Goal in the 2nd half81%69%88%83%
Goal in both halves57%38%70%58%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 44% this game (league: 2nd half 43%).

This game = our chance. Rustavi: last 32 games, Samgurali: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

30 Aug 26Samgurali 1–1 RustaviU2.5
21 May 26Rustavi 1–0 SamguraliU2.5
3 Apr 26Samgurali 2–1 RustaviO2.5

More: Rustavi season stats · Samgurali season stats · Erovnuli Liga table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.