Ratings updated 00:10 UK time · refreshed several times a day
Championship (England) · Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 12:30 UK

Portsmouth vs Stoke City: prediction and stats

75%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
75%Portsmouth, league games
75%Stoke City, league games
76%league
Portsmouth Over 1.5 in 7 straight at home
51%Over 2.5 goals· close call
50%Portsmouth, league games
67%Stoke City, league games
56%league
Portsmouth Over 2.5 in 3 straight at home
29%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
33%Portsmouth, league games
33%Stoke City, league games
31%league
57%Both teams to score: Yes· likely
58%Portsmouth, league games
67%Stoke City, league games
60%league
Portsmouth BTTS (GG) in 3 straight at home
42%Portsmouth win· close call
42%Portsmouth
28%Draw
29%Stoke City

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Portsmouth vs Stoke City (Championship, England, Saturday, 7 November 2026) 51% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with Portsmouth 42%, the draw 28% and Stoke City 29%.

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Form this season

Portsmouth

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (12)50%
Home (6)67%
Away (6)33%
Home games (6)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.71.7
Won 3 · drew 1 · lost 2 · both scored in 67%

Stoke City

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (12)67%
Home (6)67%
Away (6)67%
Away games (6)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.31.7
Won 3 · drew 1 · lost 2 · both scored in 83%

Latest results

Portsmouth

24 OctHMillwall ChampW2–1
20 OctAWolves ChampD1–1
17 OctANorwich ChampW0–1
14 OctHSheffield Utd ChampW3–2
11 OctASouthampton ChampL1–0
19 SeptHBlackburn ChampD2–2

Stoke City

24 OctHBristol City ChampD0–0
17 OctADerby ChampW0–1
13 OctHMiddlesbrough ChampL2–3
10 OctABolton ChampW1–2
19 SeptHSheffield Utd ChampW2–1
12 SeptAWatford ChampW1–2

First and second half

This gamePortsmouthStoke CityLeague
Goal in the 1st half71%68%68%73%
Goal in the 2nd half78%80%78%77%
Goal in both halves54%52%54%56%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 43% this game (league: 2nd half 41%).

This game = our chance. Portsmouth: last 50 games, Stoke City: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

25 Apr 26Stoke City 1–3 PortsmouthO2.5
25 Oct 25Portsmouth 0–1 Stoke CityU2.5
22 Jan 25Portsmouth 3–1 Stoke CityO2.5
2 Oct 24Stoke City 6–1 PortsmouthO2.5

More: Portsmouth season stats · Stoke City season stats · Championship (England) table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.