Ratings updated 00:10 UK time · refreshed several times a day

MLS · Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 21:00 UK

Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC: prediction and stats

Over 1.5Over 2.5Over 3.5BTTS (GG)W/D/L

82%Over 1.5 goals· very likely

81%Philadelphia Union, league games

91%Toronto FC, league games

81%league

Philadelphia Union Over 1.5 in 8 straight at home

Toronto FC Over 1.5 in 8 straight away

60%Over 2.5 goals· likely

69%Philadelphia Union, league games

69%Toronto FC, league games

62%league

Philadelphia Union Over 2.5 in 5 straight at home

36%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar

47%Philadelphia Union, league games

34%Toronto FC, league games

39%league

62%Both teams to score: Yes· likely

69%Philadelphia Union, league games

78%Toronto FC, league games

63%league

Philadelphia Union BTTS (GG) in 4 straight at home

60%Philadelphia Union win· likely

60%Philadelphia Union

22%Draw

17%Toronto FC

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC (MLS, Saturday, 7 November 2026) 60% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with Philadelphia Union 60%, the draw 22% and Toronto FC 17%.

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Form this season

Philadelphia Union

Over 2.5 this season · league games

All (32)69%

Home (16)63%

Away (16)75%

Home games (16)

Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5

	For	Against
Goals a game	1.8	1.1

Won 7 · drew 5 · lost 4 · both scored in 63%

Toronto FC

Over 2.5 this season · league games

All (32)69%

Home (17)76%

Away (15)60%

Away games (15)

Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5

	For	Against
Goals a game	0.9	1.8

Won 3 · drew 3 · lost 9 · both scored in 53%

Latest results

Philadelphia Union

29 OctANashville SC MLSD0–0

25 OctHNew England Revolution MLSL1–2

17 OctHCharlotte MLSD2–2

15 OctAChicago Fire MLSW1–3

11 OctHReal Salt Lake MLSW2–1

27 SeptHOrlando City SC MLSW4–2

Toronto FC

28 OctHDC United MLSW2–1

24 OctAColumbus Crew MLSL4–2

18 OctANew York Red Bulls MLSW0–2

15 OctHOrlando City SC MLSD3–3

10 OctHCF Montreal MLSW2–1

27 SeptANashville SC MLSL2–0

First and second half

	This game	Philadelphia Union	Toronto FC	League
Goal in the 1st half	77%	82%	72%	77%
Goal in the 2nd half	80%	74%	82%	81%
Goal in both halves	62%	62%	60%	64%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 46% this game (league: 2nd half 45%).

This game = our chance. Philadelphia Union: last 50 games, Toronto FC: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

23 Apr 26Toronto FC 3–3 Philadelphia UnionO2.5

10 Aug 25Philadelphia Union 1–1 Toronto FCU2.5

29 May 25Toronto FC 1–2 Philadelphia UnionO2.5

14 Jul 24Toronto FC 2–1 Philadelphia UnionO2.5

30 May 24Philadelphia Union 0–0 Toronto FCU2.5

31 Aug 23Toronto FC 3–1 Philadelphia UnionO2.5

More: Philadelphia Union season stats · Toronto FC season stats · MLS table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.