Ratings updated 00:10 UK time · refreshed several times a day
Serie A (Italy) · Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 17:00 UK

Parma vs Bologna: prediction and stats

72%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
78%Parma, league games
67%Bologna, league games
73%league
Bologna Over 1.5 in 3 straight away
53%Under 2.5 goals· close call
44%Parma, league games
56%Bologna, league games
49%league
26%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
0%Parma, league games
33%Bologna, league games
27%league
52%Both teams to score: No· close call
56%Parma, league games
44%Bologna, league games
51%league
58%Bologna win· likely
17%Parma
25%Draw
58%Bologna

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Parma vs Bologna (Serie A, Italy, Saturday, 7 November 2026) 47% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, with Parma 17%, the draw 25% and Bologna 58%.

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Form this season

Parma

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (9)56%
Home (5)40%
Away (4)75%
Home games (5)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game0.61.2
Won 1 · drew 2 · lost 2 · both scored in 40%

Bologna

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (9)44%
Home (4)50%
Away (5)40%
Away games (5)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.61.0
Won 3 · drew 0 · lost 2 · both scored in 40%

Latest results

Parma

28 OctHUdinese SerAD0–0
24 OctALazio SerAL2–1
19 OctHTorino SerAL0–3
10 OctAInter SerAL3–0
20 SeptHGenoa SerAW2–1
14 SeptAComo SerAL2–1

Bologna

28 OctAAC Milan SerAW2–4
24 OctACagliari SerAW0–2
17 OctHInter SerAL1–3
11 OctALecce SerAW1–2
19 SeptHTorino SerAD1–1
13 SeptANapoli SerAL1–0

First and second half

This gameParmaBolognaLeague
Goal in the 1st half63%56%60%66%
Goal in the 2nd half79%74%88%78%
Goal in both halves50%44%52%53%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 46% this game (league: 2nd half 46%).

This game = our chance. Parma: last 50 games, Bologna: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

8 Feb 26Bologna 0–1 ParmaU2.5
4 Dec 25Bologna 2–1 ParmaO2.5
2 Nov 25Parma 1–3 BolognaO2.5
22 Feb 25Parma 2–0 BolognaU2.5
6 Oct 24Bologna 0–0 ParmaU2.5

More: Parma season stats · Bologna season stats · Serie A (Italy) table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.