Ratings updated 00:10 UK time · refreshed several times a day
Premier League · Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 17:30 UK

Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City: prediction and stats

76%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
50%Nottingham Forest, league games
75%Manchester City, league games
78%league
52%Over 2.5 goals· close call
38%Nottingham Forest, league games
75%Manchester City, league games
57%league
Manchester City Over 2.5 in 8 consecutive matches (all venues)
26%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
25%Nottingham Forest, league games
38%Manchester City, league games
32%league
51%Both teams to score: Yes· close call
50%Nottingham Forest, league games
63%Manchester City, league games
57%league
Manchester City BTTS (GG) in 5 consecutive matches (all venues)
59%Manchester City win· likely
15%Nottingham Forest
26%Draw
59%Manchester City

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City (Premier League, Saturday, 7 November 2026) 52% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with Nottingham Forest 15%, the draw 26% and Manchester City 59%.

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Form this season

Nottingham Forest

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (8)38%
Home (4)0%
Away (4)75%
Home games (4)
Last 4●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game0.00.8
Won 0 · drew 1 · lost 3 · both scored in 0%

Manchester City

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (8)75%
Home (4)75%
Away (4)75%
Away games (4)
Last 4●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game2.30.8
Won 3 · drew 0 · lost 1 · both scored in 50%

Latest results

Nottingham Forest

23 OctAIpswich PremD1–1
18 OctHArsenal PremL0–1
11 OctACrystal Palace PremL3–1
19 SeptHCoventry PremL0–1
12 SeptAAston Villa PremW1–2
5 SeptHTottenham PremD0–0

Manchester City

28 OctHBrighton EFL CupD2–2
24 OctAAston Villa PremL2–1
20 OctHAEK Athens FC UCLW5–1
17 OctHIpswich PremW3–2
14 OctHParis Saint Germain UCLL2–4
11 OctALiverpool PremW0–3

First and second half

This gameNottingham ForestManchester CityLeague
Goal in the 1st half70%66%74%70%
Goal in the 2nd half79%78%80%80%
Goal in both halves55%52%56%57%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 45% this game (league: 2nd half 46%).

This game = our chance. Nottingham Forest: last 50 games, Manchester City: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

4 Mar 26Manchester City 2–2 Nottingham ForestO2.5
27 Dec 25Nottingham Forest 1–2 Manchester CityO2.5
27 Apr 25Nottingham Forest 0–2 Manchester CityU2.5
8 Mar 25Nottingham Forest 1–0 Manchester CityU2.5
4 Dec 24Manchester City 3–0 Nottingham ForestO2.5
28 Apr 24Nottingham Forest 0–2 Manchester CityU2.5

More: Nottingham Forest season stats · Manchester City season stats · Premier League table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.