Ratings updated 00:10 UK time · refreshed several times a day

Championship (Scotland) · Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 15:00 UK

Morton vs Stenhousemuir: prediction and stats

Over 1.5Over 2.5Over 3.5BTTS (GG)W/D/L

68%Over 1.5 goals· likely

82%Morton, league games

62%Stenhousemuir, league games

70%league

58%Under 2.5 goals· likely

55%Morton, league games

77%Stenhousemuir, league games

54%league

22%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar

9%Morton, league games

8%Stenhousemuir, league games

25%league

53%Both teams to score: No· close call

45%Morton, league games

77%Stenhousemuir, league games

51%league

34%Stenhousemuir win· close call

34%Morton

32%Draw

34%Stenhousemuir

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Morton vs Stenhousemuir (Championship, Scotland, Saturday, 7 November 2026) 42% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with Morton 34%, the draw 32% and Stenhousemuir 34%.

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Form this season

Morton

Over 2.5 this season · league games

All (11)45%

Home (6)50%

Away (5)40%

Home games (6)

Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5

	For	Against
Goals a game	0.8	1.7

Won 1 · drew 0 · lost 5 · both scored in 50%

Stenhousemuir

Over 2.5 this season · league games

All (13)23%

Home (7)29%

Away (6)17%

Away games (6)

Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5

	For	Against
Goals a game	0.8	1.0

Won 3 · drew 1 · lost 2 · both scored in 17%

Latest results

Morton

17 OctHQueen's Park ChampW2–0

10 OctAArbroath ChampW1–2

3 OctHRaith Rovers ChampL1–2

25 SeptAInverness CT ChampL2–0

19 SeptHDunfermline ChampL0–1

11 SeptHLivingston ChampL1–4

Stenhousemuir

30 OctHLivingston ChampL0–3

27 OctHDunfermline ChampL0–1

24 OctAPartick ChampL3–0

17 OctHRaith Rovers ChampD1–1

10 OctAInverness CT ChampL2–0

25 SeptAAyr Utd ChampW0–1

First and second half

	This game	Morton	Stenhousemuir	League
Goal in the 1st half	70%	70%	68%	70%
Goal in the 2nd half	70%	78%	70%	67%
Goal in both halves	51%	54%	48%	50%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 41% this game (league: 2nd half 38%).

This game = our chance. Morton: last 50 games, Stenhousemuir: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

8 Aug 26Stenhousemuir 2–0 MortonU2.5

17 Jan 26Stenhousemuir 4–0 MortonO2.5

15 Jul 25Morton 3–0 StenhousemuirO2.5

More: Morton season stats · Stenhousemuir season stats · Championship (Scotland) table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.