Ratings updated 00:10 UK time · refreshed several times a day
La Liga · Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 13:00 UK

Malaga vs Racing Santander: prediction and stats

80%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
80%Malaga, league games
90%Racing Santander, league games
78%league
Malaga Over 1.5 in 3 straight at home
Racing Santander Over 1.5 in 5 straight away
58%Over 2.5 goals· likely
30%Malaga, league games
80%Racing Santander, league games
54%league
35%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
30%Malaga, league games
60%Racing Santander, league games
31%league
59%Both teams to score: Yes· likely
60%Malaga, league games
70%Racing Santander, league games
58%league
Malaga BTTS (GG) in 3 straight at home
52%Malaga win· close call
52%Malaga
23%Draw
25%Racing Santander

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Malaga vs Racing Santander (La Liga, Saturday, 7 November 2026) 58% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with Malaga 52%, the draw 23% and Racing Santander 25%.

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Form this season

Malaga

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (10)30%
Home (5)40%
Away (5)20%
Home games (5)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.02.0
Won 0 · drew 3 · lost 2 · both scored in 80%

Racing Santander

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (10)80%
Home (5)100%
Away (5)60%
Away games (5)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game0.83.6
Won 0 · drew 0 · lost 5 · both scored in 40%

Latest results

Malaga

27 OctAAlcazar CopaW0–3
23 OctAAlaves LaLigaD1–1
18 OctHReal Sociedad LaLigaL2–5
9 OctHEspanyol LaLigaD1–1
20 SeptAGetafe LaLigaL1–0
17 SeptHVillarreal LaLigaL1–3

Racing Santander

29 OctARibadesella CF CopaW0–2
24 OctHEspanyol LaLigaW2–1
18 OctAOsasuna LaLigaL2–0
11 OctHValencia LaLigaD2–2
19 SeptACelta Vigo LaLigaL5–0
16 SeptABarcelona LaLigaL7–2

First and second half

This gameMalagaRacing SantanderLeague
Goal in the 1st half70%68%76%69%
Goal in the 2nd half84%86%88%82%
Goal in both halves60%60%66%56%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 47% this game (league: 2nd half 49%).

This game = our chance. Malaga: last 50 games, Racing Santander: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

24 May 26Malaga 1–1 Racing SantanderU2.5
5 Oct 25Racing Santander 3–0 MalagaO2.5
1 Feb 25Racing Santander 2–1 MalagaO2.5
23 Nov 24Malaga 0–0 Racing SantanderU2.5
5 Mar 23Malaga 0–1 Racing SantanderU2.5
1 Oct 22Racing Santander 0–0 MalagaU2.5

More: Malaga season stats · Racing Santander season stats · La Liga table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.