Ratings updated 00:10 UK time · refreshed several times a day
Premier League · Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 12:30 UK

Leeds vs Tottenham: prediction and stats

76%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
63%Leeds, league games
75%Tottenham, league games
78%league
Tottenham Over 1.5 in 3 straight away
52%Over 2.5 goals· close call
25%Leeds, league games
38%Tottenham, league games
57%league
28%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
13%Leeds, league games
25%Tottenham, league games
32%league
55%Both teams to score: Yes· likely
63%Leeds, league games
38%Tottenham, league games
57%league
42%Leeds win· close call
42%Leeds
29%Draw
29%Tottenham

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Leeds vs Tottenham (Premier League, Saturday, 7 November 2026) 52% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with Leeds 42%, the draw 29% and Tottenham 29%.

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Form this season

Leeds

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (8)25%
Home (4)25%
Away (4)25%
Home games (4)
Last 4●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.50.8
Won 1 · drew 3 · lost 0 · both scored in 75%

Tottenham

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (8)38%
Home (4)50%
Away (4)25%
Away games (4)
Last 4●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game0.81.0
Won 1 · drew 2 · lost 1 · both scored in 25%

Latest results

Leeds

25 OctASunderland PremD0–0
18 OctHManchester United PremD1–1
10 OctAArsenal PremL2–1
20 SeptHCrystal Palace PremD0–0
14 SeptHNewcastle PremW4–1
9 SeptAChelsea EFL CupL6–3

Tottenham

24 OctAChelsea PremW0–2
19 OctHCoventry PremW3–1
10 OctAManchester United PremD1–1
19 SeptHAston Villa PremL2–3
15 SeptALiverpool EFL CupL3–1
12 SeptHEverton PremD0–0

First and second half

This gameLeedsTottenhamLeague
Goal in the 1st half69%62%74%70%
Goal in the 2nd half80%84%80%80%
Goal in both halves58%56%62%57%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 45% this game (league: 2nd half 46%).

This game = our chance. Leeds: last 50 games, Tottenham: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

11 May 26Tottenham 1–1 LeedsU2.5
4 Oct 25Leeds 1–2 TottenhamO2.5
28 May 23Leeds 1–4 TottenhamO2.5
12 Nov 22Tottenham 4–3 LeedsO2.5
26 Feb 22Leeds 0–4 TottenhamO2.5
21 Nov 21Tottenham 2–1 LeedsO2.5

More: Leeds season stats · Tottenham season stats · Premier League table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.