Ratings updated 00:10 UK time · refreshed several times a day

Bundesliga (Germany) · Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 14:30 UK

FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München: prediction and stats

Over 1.5Over 2.5Over 3.5BTTS (GG)W/D/L

89%Over 1.5 goals· very likely

75%FSV Mainz 05, league games

86%Bayern München, league games

83%league

FSV Mainz 05 Over 1.5 in 3 straight at home

Bayern München Over 1.5 in 4 straight away

73%Over 2.5 goals· very likely

75%FSV Mainz 05, league games

86%Bayern München, league games

68%league

FSV Mainz 05 Over 2.5 in 3 straight at home

Bayern München Over 2.5 in 4 straight away

Bayern München Over 2.5 in 9 consecutive matches (all venues)

52%Over 3.5 goals· close call

75%FSV Mainz 05, league games

71%Bayern München, league games

47%league

FSV Mainz 05 Over 3.5 in 3 straight at home

Bayern München Over 3.5 in 3 straight away

Bayern München Over 3.5 in 7 consecutive matches (all venues)

62%Both teams to score: Yes· likely

63%FSV Mainz 05, league games

71%Bayern München, league games

63%league

FSV Mainz 05 BTTS (GG) in 3 straight at home

Bayern München BTTS (GG) in 4 straight away

Bayern München BTTS (GG) in 6 consecutive matches (all venues)

76%Bayern München win· very likely

10%FSV Mainz 05

14%Draw

76%Bayern München

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München (Bundesliga, Germany, Saturday, 7 November 2026) 73% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with FSV Mainz 05 10%, the draw 14% and Bayern München 76%.

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Form this season

FSV Mainz 05

Over 2.5 this season · league games

All (8)75%

Home (4)75%

Away (4)75%

Home games (4)

Last 4●●●●● = went over 2.5

	For	Against
Goals a game	1.5	2.5

Won 0 · drew 1 · lost 3 · both scored in 75%

Bayern München

Over 2.5 this season · league games

All (7)86%

Home (3)100%

Away (4)75%

Away games (4)

Last 4●●●●● = went over 2.5

	For	Against
Goals a game	1.8	1.0

Won 2 · drew 2 · lost 0 · both scored in 75%

Latest results

FSV Mainz 05

30 OctASV Elversberg BundL4–1

27 OctAVfL Bochum PokalL2–0

24 OctHWerder Bremen BundL2–3

17 OctAFC Schalke 04 BundW0–1

10 OctHBayer Leverkusen BundL3–4

19 SeptABorussia Mönchengladbach BundW3–4

Bayern München

28 OctH1. FC Magdeburg PokalW6–1

25 OctASC Freiburg BundW1–3

21 OctHArsenal UCLD2–2

17 OctHRB Leipzig BundW6–1

13 OctAViking UCLD3–3

10 OctAFC Augsburg BundD2–2

First and second half

	This game	FSV Mainz 05	Bayern München	League
Goal in the 1st half	78%	78%	82%	77%
Goal in the 2nd half	87%	84%	98%	86%
Goal in both halves	72%	68%	82%	67%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 46% this game (league: 2nd half 48%).

This game = our chance. FSV Mainz 05: last 50 games, Bayern München: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

25 Apr 26FSV Mainz 05 3–4 Bayern MünchenO2.5

14 Dec 25Bayern München 2–2 FSV Mainz 05O2.5

26 Apr 25Bayern München 3–0 FSV Mainz 05O2.5

14 Dec 24FSV Mainz 05 2–1 Bayern MünchenO2.5

30 Oct 24FSV Mainz 05 0–4 Bayern MünchenO2.5

More: FSV Mainz 05 season stats · Bayern München season stats · Bundesliga (Germany) table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.