Ratings updated 00:10 UK time · refreshed several times a day
Primera A · Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 01:00 UK

Fortaleza FC vs Independiente Medellin: prediction and stats

75%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
83%Fortaleza FC, league games
80%Independiente Medellin, league games
70%league
Fortaleza FC Over 1.5 in 7 straight at home
Independiente Medellin Over 1.5 in 8 straight away
50%Under 2.5 goals· close call
49%Fortaleza FC, league games
37%Independiente Medellin, league games
54%league
Independiente Medellin Over 2.5 in 3 straight away
26%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
23%Fortaleza FC, league games
29%Independiente Medellin, league games
22%league
56%Both teams to score: Yes· likely
74%Fortaleza FC, league games
66%Independiente Medellin, league games
51%league
Fortaleza FC BTTS (GG) in 6 straight at home
Independiente Medellin BTTS (GG) in 3 straight away
43%Independiente Medellin win· close call
30%Fortaleza FC
27%Draw
43%Independiente Medellin

The model reads goals, not team news.

Was this page useful?

CompactStats rates Fortaleza FC vs Independiente Medellin (Primera A, Saturday, 7 November 2026) 50% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with Fortaleza FC 30%, the draw 27% and Independiente Medellin 43%.

Open this match in the app →

In the app: live scores, every market including half-time goals, filters by league, cup and venue, and a slip you can share.

Form this season

Fortaleza FC

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (35)51%
Home (18)50%
Away (17)53%
Home games (18)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.31.2
Won 6 · drew 7 · lost 5 · both scored in 78%

Independiente Medellin

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (35)63%
Home (18)56%
Away (17)71%
Away games (17)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.41.5
Won 6 · drew 4 · lost 7 · both scored in 71%

Latest results

Fortaleza FC

29 OctAAmerica de Cali PrimAL2–1
25 OctHDeportivo Cali PrimAD1–1
21 OctAInternacional de Bogota PrimAL2–1
9 OctHMillonarios PrimAD1–1
4 OctADeportivo Pasto PrimAD0–0
28 SeptHDeportes Tolima PrimAD2–2

Independiente Medellin

29 OctAInternacional de Bogota PrimAL3–1
25 OctAAtletico Nacional PrimAL2–1
18 OctHOnce Caldas PrimAL0–2
12 OctAAmerica de Cali PrimAW1–2
6 OctHSanta Fe PrimAL0–1
30 SeptHMillonarios PrimAD2–2

First and second half

This gameFortaleza FCIndependiente MedellinLeague
Goal in the 1st half68%70%72%67%
Goal in the 2nd half75%78%84%73%
Goal in both halves55%58%60%49%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 43% this game (league: 2nd half 41%).

This game = our chance. Fortaleza FC: last 50 games, Independiente Medellin: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

26 Apr 26Independiente Medellin 1–0 Fortaleza FCU2.5
18 Oct 25Independiente Medellin 3–1 Fortaleza FCO2.5
27 Apr 25Fortaleza FC 0–0 Independiente MedellinU2.5
27 Aug 24Fortaleza FC 2–2 Independiente MedellinO2.5
17 Feb 24Independiente Medellin 2–2 Fortaleza FCO2.5

More: Fortaleza FC season stats · Independiente Medellin season stats · Primera A table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.