Ratings updated 00:10 UK time · refreshed several times a day

Challenge League · Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 17:00 UK

FC Winterthur vs Étoile Carouge: prediction and stats

Over 1.5Over 2.5Over 3.5BTTS (GG)W/D/L

85%Over 1.5 goals· very likely

91%FC Winterthur, league games

75%Étoile Carouge, league games

81%league

FC Winterthur Over 1.5 in 10 straight at home

Étoile Carouge Over 1.5 in 3 straight away

65%Over 2.5 goals· likely

64%FC Winterthur, league games

50%Étoile Carouge, league games

65%league

FC Winterthur Over 2.5 in 3 straight at home

Étoile Carouge Over 2.5 in 3 straight away

39%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar

45%FC Winterthur, league games

17%Étoile Carouge, league games

39%league

56%Both teams to score: Yes· likely

36%FC Winterthur, league games

50%Étoile Carouge, league games

59%league

66%FC Winterthur win· likely

66%FC Winterthur

19%Draw

15%Étoile Carouge

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates FC Winterthur vs Étoile Carouge (Challenge League, Saturday, 7 November 2026) 65% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with FC Winterthur 66%, the draw 19% and Étoile Carouge 15%.

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Form this season

FC Winterthur

Over 2.5 this season · league games

All (11)64%

Home (6)83%

Away (5)40%

Home games (6)

Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5

	For	Against
Goals a game	3.0	0.7

Won 4 · drew 2 · lost 0 · both scored in 50%

Étoile Carouge

Over 2.5 this season · league games

All (12)50%

Home (7)43%

Away (5)60%

Away games (5)

Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5

	For	Against
Goals a game	0.8	1.8

Won 1 · drew 2 · lost 2 · both scored in 60%

Latest results

FC Winterthur

23 OctHStade Nyonnais ChalLW4–0

9 OctANeuchatel Xamax FC ChalLL3–0

18 SeptHFC Aarau ChalLW2–1

11 SeptAÉtoile Carouge ChalLW0–1

4 SeptHNeuchatel Xamax FC ChalLW4–0

1 SeptAStade Nyonnais ChalLD2–2

Étoile Carouge

30 OctHSC Kriens ChalLD2–2

24 OctAFC Aarau ChalLW1–2

9 OctHYverdon Sport ChalLL0–2

18 SeptASC Kriens ChalLL4–1

11 SeptHFC Winterthur ChalLL0–1

4 SeptHFC WIL 1900 ChalLD1–1

First and second half

	This game	FC Winterthur	Étoile Carouge	League
Goal in the 1st half	74%	84%	68%	72%
Goal in the 2nd half	83%	94%	80%	81%
Goal in both halves	64%	78%	56%	60%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 44% this game (league: 2nd half 42%).

This game = our chance. FC Winterthur: last 50 games, Étoile Carouge: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

11 Sept 26Étoile Carouge 0–1 FC WinterthurU2.5

More: FC Winterthur season stats · Étoile Carouge season stats · Challenge League table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.