Ratings updated 00:10 UK time · refreshed several times a day
League Two (Scotland) · Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 15:00 UK

Elgin City vs Dumbarton: prediction and stats

83%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
91%Elgin City, league games
91%Dumbarton, league games
84%league
Dumbarton Over 1.5 in 10 straight away
63%Over 2.5 goals· likely
73%Elgin City, league games
64%Dumbarton, league games
61%league
39%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
55%Elgin City, league games
18%Dumbarton, league games
38%league
62%Both teams to score: Yes· likely
64%Elgin City, league games
55%Dumbarton, league games
62%league
68%Elgin City win· likely
68%Elgin City
17%Draw
14%Dumbarton

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Elgin City vs Dumbarton (League Two, Scotland, Saturday, 7 November 2026) 63% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with Elgin City 68%, the draw 17% and Dumbarton 14%.

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Form this season

Elgin City

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (11)73%
Home (6)67%
Away (5)80%
Home games (6)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game2.71.5
Won 3 · drew 2 · lost 1 · both scored in 67%

Dumbarton

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (11)64%
Home (6)67%
Away (5)60%
Away games (5)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game0.62.4
Won 0 · drew 0 · lost 5 · both scored in 60%

Latest results

Elgin City

24 OctAStirling University ScottiW1–2
17 OctHEdinburgh City Lg2D0–0
10 OctAForfar Athletic Lg2W1–2
3 OctHClyde Lg2W6–2
19 SeptHStranraer Lg2L1–5
12 SeptAAnnan Athletic Lg2L2–0

Dumbarton

24 OctHKeith ScottiW1–0
17 OctHStirling Albion Lg2D1–1
10 OctAClyde Lg2L2–1
3 OctHForfar Athletic Lg2W2–1
19 SeptHSpartans Lg2W3–0
12 SeptAStranraer Lg2L3–1

First and second half

This gameElgin CityDumbartonLeague
Goal in the 1st half76%76%76%76%
Goal in the 2nd half83%90%90%79%
Goal in both halves65%68%68%60%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 42% this game (league: 2nd half 39%).

This game = our chance. Elgin City: last 50 games, Dumbarton: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

5 Sept 26Dumbarton 2–1 Elgin CityO2.5
14 Mar 26Elgin City 1–1 DumbartonU2.5
24 Jan 26Dumbarton 2–2 Elgin CityO2.5
15 Nov 25Elgin City 2–0 DumbartonU2.5
16 Aug 25Dumbarton 1–1 Elgin CityU2.5
27 Apr 24Dumbarton 2–2 Elgin CityO2.5

More: Elgin City season stats · Dumbarton season stats · League Two (Scotland) table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.