Ratings updated 00:10 UK time · refreshed several times a day
MLS · Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 21:00 UK

DC United vs New York City FC: prediction and stats

78%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
78%DC United, league games
88%New York City FC, league games
81%league
DC United Over 1.5 in 3 straight at home
New York City FC Over 1.5 in 10 straight away
55%Over 2.5 goals· likely
63%DC United, league games
53%New York City FC, league games
62%league
32%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
34%DC United, league games
25%New York City FC, league games
39%league
59%Both teams to score: Yes· likely
63%DC United, league games
69%New York City FC, league games
63%league
49%New York City FC win· close call
25%DC United
26%Draw
49%New York City FC

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates DC United vs New York City FC (MLS, Saturday, 7 November 2026) 55% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with DC United 25%, the draw 26% and New York City FC 49%.

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Form this season

DC United

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (32)63%
Home (16)69%
Away (16)56%
Home games (16)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.31.8
Won 5 · drew 5 · lost 6 · both scored in 63%

New York City FC

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (32)53%
Home (16)63%
Away (16)44%
Away games (16)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.11.3
Won 4 · drew 6 · lost 6 · both scored in 69%

Latest results

DC United

28 OctAToronto FC MLSL2–1
25 OctHFC Cincinnati MLSL0–2
22 OctAFC Cincinnati MLSL2–1
18 OctAOrlando City SC MLSL4–1
15 OctHNew York Red Bulls MLSW2–1
11 OctAInter Miami MLSL4–0

New York City FC

28 OctHAtlanta United FC MLSW2–1
25 OctAOrlando City SC MLSD2–2
18 OctHLos Angeles FC MLSD1–1
15 OctAInter Miami MLSL2–0
10 OctAChicago Fire MLSL2–1
27 SeptAAtlanta United FC MLSD2–2

First and second half

This gameDC UnitedNew York City FCLeague
Goal in the 1st half79%78%84%77%
Goal in the 2nd half80%78%78%81%
Goal in both halves65%66%66%64%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 43% this game (league: 2nd half 45%).

This game = our chance. DC United: last 50 games, New York City FC: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

3 May 26New York City FC 0–2 DC UnitedU2.5
31 Aug 25New York City FC 1–2 DC UnitedO2.5
15 May 25DC United 0–0 New York City FCU2.5
15 Sept 24DC United 1–1 New York City FCU2.5
21 Apr 24New York City FC 2–0 DC UnitedU2.5
8 Oct 23DC United 2–0 New York City FCU2.5

More: DC United season stats · New York City FC season stats · MLS table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.