Ratings updated 00:10 UK time · refreshed several times a day

Liga 2 · Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 14:00 UK

Chaves vs Penafiel: prediction and stats

Over 1.5Over 2.5Over 3.5BTTS (GG)W/D/L

73%Over 1.5 goals· very likely

75%Chaves, league games

88%Penafiel, league games

67%league

Penafiel Over 1.5 in 9 straight away

53%Under 2.5 goals· close call

38%Chaves, league games

25%Penafiel, league games

52%league

Penafiel Over 2.5 in 9 straight away

26%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar

38%Chaves, league games

38%Penafiel, league games

26%league

50%Both teams to score: Yes· close call

63%Chaves, league games

63%Penafiel, league games

48%league

Penafiel BTTS (GG) in 3 straight away

45%Penafiel win· close call

29%Chaves

26%Draw

45%Penafiel

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Chaves vs Penafiel (Liga 2, Saturday, 7 November 2026) 47% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with Chaves 29%, the draw 26% and Penafiel 45%.

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Form this season

Chaves

Over 2.5 this season · league games

All (8)63%

Home (4)75%

Away (4)50%

Home games (4)

Last 4●●●●● = went over 2.5

	For	Against
Goals a game	1.5	1.8

Won 2 · drew 1 · lost 1 · both scored in 75%

Penafiel

Over 2.5 this season · league games

All (8)75%

Home (4)50%

Away (4)100%

Away games (4)

Last 4●●●●● = went over 2.5

	For	Against
Goals a game	2.8	1.0

Won 3 · drew 1 · lost 0 · both scored in 75%

Latest results

Chaves

23 OctHVizela Liga W2–1

16 OctHOs Marialvas TaçaW2–1

11 OctALusitânia Lourosa Liga D1–1

4 OctAFarense Liga L4–0

20 SeptAGuarda TaçaW2–3

13 SeptHFeirense Liga W1–0

Penafiel

24 OctAFarense Liga W1–4

17 OctHLeça TaçaL0–1

9 OctHAVS Liga L1–2

19 SeptAOliveirense TaçaW1–2

12 SeptAFelgueiras 1932 Liga W1–2

5 SeptHAcademica Liga W4–1

First and second half

	This game	Chaves	Penafiel	League
Goal in the 1st half	65%	66%	62%	66%
Goal in the 2nd half	77%	88%	72%	75%
Goal in both halves	52%	58%	46%	51%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 45% this game (league: 2nd half 45%).

This game = our chance. Chaves: last 50 games, Penafiel: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

6 Feb 26Chaves 0–1 PenafielU2.5

30 Aug 25Penafiel 0–2 ChavesU2.5

15 May 25Penafiel 0–0 ChavesU2.5

4 Jan 25Chaves 0–1 PenafielU2.5

6 Mar 22Penafiel 2–1 ChavesO2.5

10 Oct 21Chaves 3–1 PenafielO2.5

More: Chaves season stats · Penafiel season stats · Liga 2 table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.