Ratings updated 00:10 UK time · refreshed several times a day

Championship (England) · Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 15:00 UK

Cardiff vs Burnley: prediction and stats

Over 1.5Over 2.5Over 3.5BTTS (GG)W/D/L

81%Over 1.5 goals· very likely

83%Cardiff, league games

100%Burnley, league games

76%league

Burnley Over 1.5 in 5 straight away

60%Over 2.5 goals· likely

58%Cardiff, league games

75%Burnley, league games

56%league

Burnley Over 2.5 in 3 straight away

38%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar

42%Cardiff, league games

58%Burnley, league games

31%league

Burnley Over 3.5 in 3 straight away

63%Both teams to score: Yes· likely

75%Cardiff, league games

92%Burnley, league games

60%league

47%Cardiff win· close call

47%Cardiff

23%Draw

29%Burnley

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Cardiff vs Burnley (Championship, England, Saturday, 7 November 2026) 60% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with Cardiff 47%, the draw 23% and Burnley 29%.

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Form this season

Cardiff

Over 2.5 this season · league games

All (12)58%

Home (6)50%

Away (6)67%

Home games (6)

Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5

	For	Against
Goals a game	2.2	1.0

Won 3 · drew 3 · lost 0 · both scored in 83%

Burnley

Over 2.5 this season · league games

All (12)75%

Home (6)67%

Away (6)83%

Away games (6)

Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5

	For	Against
Goals a game	1.5	2.5

Won 1 · drew 1 · lost 4 · both scored in 83%

Latest results

Cardiff

24 OctHBirmingham ChampW1–0

17 OctAMiddlesbrough ChampD2–2

13 OctHWatford ChampW5–1

10 OctABlackburn ChampL2–1

19 SeptHCharlton ChampW3–1

12 SeptABolton ChampL1–0

Burnley

24 OctALincoln ChampL4–1

16 OctHWolves ChampL1–2

13 OctHCharlton ChampD2–2

10 OctAWatford ChampW0–4

19 SeptHDerby ChampD1–1

12 SeptASwansea ChampL3–1

First and second half

	This game	Cardiff	Burnley	League
Goal in the 1st half	76%	76%	86%	73%
Goal in the 2nd half	78%	80%	82%	77%
Goal in both halves	62%	58%	74%	56%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 42% this game (league: 2nd half 41%).

This game = our chance. Cardiff: last 50 games, Burnley: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

23 Sept 25Burnley 1–2 CardiffO2.5

4 Mar 25Cardiff 1–2 BurnleyO2.5

17 Aug 24Burnley 5–0 CardiffO2.5

8 May 23Burnley 3–0 CardiffO2.5

1 Oct 22Cardiff 1–1 BurnleyU2.5

More: Cardiff season stats · Burnley season stats · Championship (England) table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.