Ratings updated 00:10 UK time · refreshed several times a day
Championship (England) · Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 15:00 UK

Birmingham vs Swansea: prediction and stats

78%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
75%Birmingham, league games
67%Swansea, league games
76%league
Birmingham Over 1.5 in 10 straight at home
55%Over 2.5 goals· likely
67%Birmingham, league games
58%Swansea, league games
56%league
Birmingham Over 2.5 in 4 straight at home
31%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
33%Birmingham, league games
25%Swansea, league games
31%league
58%Both teams to score: Yes· likely
58%Birmingham, league games
42%Swansea, league games
60%league
61%Birmingham win· likely
61%Birmingham
21%Draw
18%Swansea

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Birmingham vs Swansea (Championship, England, Saturday, 7 November 2026) 55% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with Birmingham 61%, the draw 21% and Swansea 18%.

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Form this season

Birmingham

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (12)67%
Home (6)83%
Away (6)50%
Home games (6)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game2.31.2
Won 2 · drew 4 · lost 0 · both scored in 67%

Swansea

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (12)58%
Home (6)33%
Away (6)83%
Away games (6)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.51.7
Won 4 · drew 0 · lost 2 · both scored in 50%

Latest results

Birmingham

24 OctACardiff ChampL1–0
17 OctHQPR ChampW3–0
13 OctHPreston ChampW4–0
10 OctAWest Brom ChampW0–1
19 SeptHMiddlesbrough ChampD2–2
12 SeptADerby ChampW1–2

Swansea

24 OctAQPR ChampL5–0
17 OctHWest Ham ChampL0–1
13 OctAMillwall ChampW0–1
10 OctHNorwich ChampW2–1
19 SeptALincoln ChampW1–2
12 SeptHBurnley ChampW3–1

First and second half

This gameBirminghamSwanseaLeague
Goal in the 1st half75%84%74%73%
Goal in the 2nd half77%74%80%77%
Goal in both halves58%62%58%56%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 42% this game (league: 2nd half 41%).

This game = our chance. Birmingham: last 50 games, Swansea: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

8 Aug 26Swansea 0–1 BirminghamU2.5
17 Jan 26Swansea 1–1 BirminghamU2.5
20 Sept 25Birmingham 1–0 SwanseaU2.5
13 Jan 24Birmingham 2–2 SwanseaO2.5
5 Aug 23Swansea 1–1 BirminghamU2.5
4 Feb 23Swansea 3–4 BirminghamO2.5

More: Birmingham season stats · Swansea season stats · Championship (England) table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.