Ratings updated 00:10 UK time · refreshed several times a day
Championship (England) · Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 15:00 UK
Birmingham vs Swansea: prediction and stats
78%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
75%Birmingham, league games
67%Swansea, league games
76%league
Birmingham Over 1.5 in 10 straight at home
55%Over 2.5 goals· likely
67%Birmingham, league games
58%Swansea, league games
56%league
Birmingham Over 2.5 in 4 straight at home
31%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
33%Birmingham, league games
25%Swansea, league games
31%league
58%Both teams to score: Yes· likely
58%Birmingham, league games
42%Swansea, league games
60%league
61%Birmingham win· likely
61%Birmingham
21%Draw
18%Swansea
The model reads goals, not team news.
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CompactStats rates Birmingham vs Swansea (Championship, England, Saturday, 7 November 2026) 55% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with Birmingham 61%, the draw 21% and Swansea 18%.
Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.
What our percentages mean
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.