Ratings updated 00:10 UK time · refreshed several times a day
A-League · Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 04:00 UK
Auckland vs Wellington Phoenix: prediction and stats
82%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
100%Auckland, league games
100%Wellington Phoenix, league games
78%league
61%Over 2.5 goals· likely
67%Auckland, league games
50%Wellington Phoenix, league games
59%league
37%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
67%Auckland, league games
0%Wellington Phoenix, league games
36%league
62%Both teams to score: Yes· likely
100%Auckland, league games
50%Wellington Phoenix, league games
62%league
53%Auckland win· close call
53%Auckland
23%Draw
24%Wellington Phoenix
The model reads goals, not team news.
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CompactStats rates Auckland vs Wellington Phoenix (A-League, Saturday, 7 November 2026) 61% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with Auckland 53%, the draw 23% and Wellington Phoenix 24%.
Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.
What our percentages mean
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.