Ratings updated 00:10 UK time · refreshed several times a day
Liga F (W) · Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 15:00 UK

Athletic Club W vs Real Madrid W: prediction and stats

79%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
50%Athletic Club W, league games
88%Real Madrid W, league games
74%league
Real Madrid W Over 1.5 in 10 straight away
56%Over 2.5 goals· likely
50%Athletic Club W, league games
75%Real Madrid W, league games
54%league
38%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
50%Athletic Club W, league games
75%Real Madrid W, league games
38%league
50%Both teams to score: Yes· close call
50%Athletic Club W, league games
63%Real Madrid W, league games
42%league
46%Real Madrid W win· close call
31%Athletic Club W
23%Draw
46%Real Madrid W

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Athletic Club W vs Real Madrid W (Liga F (W), Saturday, 7 November 2026) 56% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with Athletic Club W 31%, the draw 23% and Real Madrid W 46%.

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Form this season

Athletic Club W

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (8)50%
Home (5)60%
Away (3)33%
Home games (5)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.81.0
Won 3 · drew 2 · lost 0 · both scored in 60%

Real Madrid W

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (8)75%
Home (5)80%
Away (3)67%
Away games (3)
Last 3●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game2.33.3
Won 2 · drew 0 · lost 1 · both scored in 33%

Latest results

Athletic Club W

24 OctHSevilla W Liga FD0–0
17 OctHValencia W Liga FW1–0
3 OctAMadrid CFF W Liga FD2–2
27 SeptHAtletico Madrid W Liga FW3–2
20 SeptAEibar W Liga FL1–0
12 SeptHEspanyol W Liga FD2–2

Real Madrid W

28 OctABayern Munich W UWCLD2–2
24 OctHGranad. Tenerife W Liga FW3–2
17 OctHEspanyol W Liga FW3–1
4 OctABarcelona W Liga FL7–0
1 OctAManchester City W UWCLD1–1
26 SeptAReal Sociedad W Liga FW3–5

First and second half

This gameAthletic Club WReal Madrid WLeague
Goal in the 1st half69%52%76%72%
Goal in the 2nd half77%80%78%75%
Goal in both halves52%42%58%54%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 44% this game (league: 2nd half 41%).

This game = our chance. Athletic Club W: last 50 games, Real Madrid W: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

13 Jan 26Real Madrid W 0–1 Athletic Club WU2.5
12 Oct 25Athletic Club W 1–4 Real Madrid WO2.5
2 Mar 25Athletic Club W 1–2 Real Madrid WO2.5
22 Sept 24Real Madrid W 2–0 Athletic Club WU2.5
9 Jun 24Real Madrid W 1–0 Athletic Club WU2.5
27 Jan 24Athletic Club W 0–1 Real Madrid WU2.5

More: Athletic Club W season stats · Real Madrid W season stats · Liga F (W) table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.