Ratings updated 00:10 UK time · refreshed several times a day
Serie A (Italy) · Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 19:45 UK
AS Roma vs Sassuolo: prediction and stats
78%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
89%AS Roma, league games
100%Sassuolo, league games
73%league
AS Roma Over 1.5 in 10 straight at home
Sassuolo Over 1.5 in 5 straight away
54%Over 2.5 goals· close call
67%AS Roma, league games
78%Sassuolo, league games
51%league
31%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
56%AS Roma, league games
44%Sassuolo, league games
27%league
51%Both teams to score: Yes· close call
44%AS Roma, league games
89%Sassuolo, league games
49%league
74%AS Roma win· very likely
74%AS Roma
16%Draw
10%Sassuolo
The model reads goals, not team news.
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CompactStats rates AS Roma vs Sassuolo (Serie A, Italy, Saturday, 7 November 2026) 54% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with AS Roma 74%, the draw 16% and Sassuolo 10%.
Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.
What our percentages mean
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.