Ratings updated 00:10 UK time · refreshed several times a day
Premier League · Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 15:00 UK

Arsenal vs Hull City: prediction and stats

78%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
75%Arsenal, league games
63%Hull City, league games
78%league
Arsenal Over 1.5 in 6 straight at home
55%Over 2.5 goals· likely
50%Arsenal, league games
38%Hull City, league games
57%league
31%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
0%Arsenal, league games
25%Hull City, league games
32%league
51%Both teams to score: Yes· close call
25%Arsenal, league games
50%Hull City, league games
57%league
73%Arsenal win· very likely
73%Arsenal
18%Draw
9%Hull City

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Arsenal vs Hull City (Premier League, Saturday, 7 November 2026) 55% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with Arsenal 73%, the draw 18% and Hull City 9%.

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Form this season

Arsenal

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (8)50%
Home (4)75%
Away (4)25%
Home games (4)
Last 4●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game2.30.5
Won 4 · drew 0 · lost 0 · both scored in 50%

Hull City

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (8)38%
Home (4)25%
Away (4)50%
Away games (4)
Last 4●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.01.3
Won 1 · drew 1 · lost 2 · both scored in 50%

Latest results

Arsenal

27 OctAFleetwood Town EFL CupD1–1
24 OctHEverton PremW2–0
21 OctABayern München UCLD2–2
18 OctANottingham Forest PremW0–1
13 OctHLille UCLW3–0
10 OctHLeeds PremW2–1

Hull City

25 OctHBrentford PremD1–1
17 OctAFulham PremL1–0
11 OctHEverton PremD2–2
19 SeptANewcastle PremL2–1
12 SeptAChelsea PremD2–2
8 SeptASunderland EFL CupL1–0

First and second half

This gameArsenalHull CityLeague
Goal in the 1st half69%66%68%70%
Goal in the 2nd half79%82%76%80%
Goal in both halves55%54%54%57%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 46% this game (league: 2nd half 46%).

This game = our chance. Arsenal: last 50 games, Hull City: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

More: Arsenal season stats · Hull City season stats · Premier League table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.