Ratings updated 00:10 UK time · refreshed several times a day
Championship (Scotland) · Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 15:00 UK

Arbroath vs Ayr Utd: prediction and stats

70%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
67%Arbroath, league games
73%Ayr Utd, league games
70%league
Arbroath Over 1.5 in 3 straight at home
57%Under 2.5 goals· likely
58%Arbroath, league games
82%Ayr Utd, league games
54%league
22%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
8%Arbroath, league games
9%Ayr Utd, league games
25%league
52%Both teams to score: No· close call
67%Arbroath, league games
55%Ayr Utd, league games
51%league
Arbroath BTTS (GG) in 3 straight at home
40%Arbroath win· close call
40%Arbroath
29%Draw
31%Ayr Utd

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Arbroath vs Ayr Utd (Championship, Scotland, Saturday, 7 November 2026) 43% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, with Arbroath 40%, the draw 29% and Ayr Utd 31%.

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Form this season

Arbroath

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (12)42%
Home (5)40%
Away (7)43%
Home games (5)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.00.8
Won 2 · drew 2 · lost 1 · both scored in 60%

Ayr Utd

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (11)18%
Home (6)17%
Away (5)20%
Away games (5)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.01.0
Won 2 · drew 1 · lost 2 · both scored in 40%

Latest results

Arbroath

24 OctALivingston ChampL1–0
17 OctAInverness CT ChampL2–0
10 OctHMorton ChampL1–2
3 OctAPartick ChampL3–0
25 SeptHQueen's Park ChampW2–1
19 SeptAStenhousemuir ChampL1–0

Ayr Utd

16 OctHPartick ChampL0–1
10 OctHDunfermline ChampD1–1
3 OctALivingston ChampW1–2
25 SeptHStenhousemuir ChampL0–1
18 SeptAQueen's Park ChampW0–2
12 SeptHInverness CT ChampL1–3

First and second half

This gameArbroathAyr UtdLeague
Goal in the 1st half70%60%78%70%
Goal in the 2nd half66%62%62%67%
Goal in both halves46%38%48%50%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 41% this game (league: 2nd half 38%).

This game = our chance. Arbroath: last 50 games, Ayr Utd: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

1 Aug 26Ayr Utd 2–0 ArbroathU2.5
11 Apr 26Ayr Utd 1–0 ArbroathU2.5
3 Mar 26Arbroath 1–1 Ayr UtdU2.5
15 Nov 25Ayr Utd 1–1 ArbroathU2.5
1 Aug 25Arbroath 1–1 Ayr UtdU2.5
19 Jul 25Ayr Utd 4–0 ArbroathO2.5

More: Arbroath season stats · Ayr Utd season stats · Championship (Scotland) table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.