Ratings updated 00:10 UK time · refreshed several times a day
Serie A (Brazil) · Friday, 6 November 2026 · 23:00 UK

Vitoria vs Fluminense: prediction and stats

72%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
81%Vitoria, league games
74%Fluminense, league games
75%league
Vitoria Over 1.5 in 3 straight at home
54%Under 2.5 goals· close call
59%Vitoria, league games
47%Fluminense, league games
51%league
25%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
28%Vitoria, league games
28%Fluminense, league games
25%league
52%Both teams to score: Yes· close call
44%Vitoria, league games
67%Fluminense, league games
54%league
39%Vitoria win· close call
39%Vitoria
30%Draw
31%Fluminense

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Vitoria vs Fluminense (Serie A, Brazil, Friday, 6 November 2026) 46% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with Vitoria 39%, the draw 30% and Fluminense 31%.

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Form this season

Vitoria

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (32)41%
Home (16)31%
Away (16)50%
Home games (16)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.40.8
Won 10 · drew 2 · lost 4 · both scored in 25%

Fluminense

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (43)53%
Home (23)65%
Away (20)40%
Away games (20)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.31.4
Won 6 · drew 6 · lost 8 · both scored in 65%

Latest results

Vitoria

24 OctHAtletico Paranaense SerAD1–1
20 OctACorinthians SerAD1–1
11 OctASao Paulo SerAL2–1
8 OctHChapecoense-sc SerAW4–0
20 SeptHCruzeiro SerAL1–3
13 SeptAMirassol SerAD2–2

Fluminense

28 OctHInternacional SerAW2–1
24 OctAChapecoense-sc SerAL2–1
22 OctAPalmeiras LibtdrsW0–1
18 OctHSantos SerAL1–2
15 OctHPalmeiras LibtdrsL1–2
11 OctAFlamengo SerAL1–0

First and second half

This gameVitoriaFluminenseLeague
Goal in the 1st half71%72%68%72%
Goal in the 2nd half77%78%78%77%
Goal in both halves57%58%58%56%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 43% this game (league: 2nd half 42%).

This game = our chance. Vitoria: last 50 games, Fluminense: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

9 May 26Fluminense 2–2 VitoriaO2.5
20 Sept 25Vitoria 0–1 FluminenseU2.5
20 Apr 25Fluminense 1–1 VitoriaU2.5
26 Oct 24Vitoria 2–1 FluminenseO2.5
27 Jun 24Fluminense 0–1 VitoriaU2.5

More: Vitoria season stats · Fluminense season stats · Serie A (Brazil) table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.