Ratings updated 00:10 UK time · refreshed several times a day
Ligue 1 · Friday, 6 November 2026 · 19:45 UK

Toulouse vs Strasbourg: prediction and stats

82%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
75%Toulouse, league games
100%Strasbourg, league games
73%league
Strasbourg Over 1.5 in 7 straight away
60%Over 2.5 goals· likely
63%Toulouse, league games
88%Strasbourg, league games
57%league
Strasbourg Over 2.5 in 6 straight away
37%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
50%Toulouse, league games
38%Strasbourg, league games
37%league
58%Both teams to score: Yes· likely
50%Toulouse, league games
75%Strasbourg, league games
54%league
39%Strasbourg win· close call
37%Toulouse
24%Draw
39%Strasbourg

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Toulouse vs Strasbourg (Ligue 1, Friday, 6 November 2026) 60% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with Toulouse 37%, the draw 24% and Strasbourg 39%.

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Form this season

Toulouse

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (8)63%
Home (4)25%
Away (4)100%
Home games (4)
Last 4●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game0.81.3
Won 1 · drew 1 · lost 2 · both scored in 25%

Strasbourg

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (8)88%
Home (3)67%
Away (5)100%
Away games (5)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.62.6
Won 1 · drew 0 · lost 4 · both scored in 60%

Latest results

Toulouse

25 OctHEstac Troyes Ligue1D0–0
16 OctALe Mans Ligue1W0–3
10 OctAMonaco Ligue1D2–2
19 SeptHLe Havre Ligue1W3–2
12 SeptALorient Ligue1D2–2
3 SeptHLille Ligue1L0–1

Strasbourg

25 OctARennes Ligue1L3–0
17 OctHParis Saint Germain Ligue1L1–3
11 OctANice Ligue1L2–1
19 SeptAParis FC Ligue1L2–1
12 SeptHMonaco Ligue1D1–1
6 SeptAEstac Troyes Ligue1W2–6

First and second half

This gameToulouseStrasbourgLeague
Goal in the 1st half70%64%78%70%
Goal in the 2nd half79%76%82%79%
Goal in both halves57%48%66%57%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 46% this game (league: 2nd half 47%).

This game = our chance. Toulouse: last 50 games, Strasbourg: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

3 May 26Strasbourg 1–2 ToulouseO2.5
6 Dec 25Toulouse 1–0 StrasbourgU2.5
16 Mar 25Strasbourg 2–1 ToulouseO2.5
12 Jan 25Toulouse 1–2 StrasbourgO2.5
7 Apr 24Toulouse 0–0 StrasbourgU2.5
27 Aug 23Strasbourg 2–0 ToulouseU2.5

More: Toulouse season stats · Strasbourg season stats · Ligue 1 table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.