Toulouse have gone over 2.5 goals in 5 of 7 league games this season (71%) — 33% at home, 100% away. They've scored 12 and conceded 11, so their matches average 3.29 goals, and both teams have scored in 57% of them. Record: 2-3-2 in the Ligue 1, where the division average is 63% over 2.5.
Full Toulouse season view in the app →They are one of the division's more open sides: 71% of their games beat 2.5 goals, 8 points above the Ligue 1 average of 63%. That ranks them 8th of 18 for goals in their matches, 8th for scoring (1.71 a game) and 8th for goals conceded (1.57). They've kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 2 times in 7 games.
Across 7 matches with half-time data, 74% of the goals in their games have come after the break (6 before, 17 after). Toulouse themselves have scored 1 in first halves and 11 in second — a distinctly second-half team.
| P | W | D | L | GF | GA | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 71% | 57% | 57% |
| Home | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Away | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 100% | 75% | 75% |
Home/away splits are small samples — our 30,582-match study found ~94% of such gaps are indistinguishable from chance, which is why the app's ratings pool them rather than trusting the split.
Their most common result this season is 2–2 (3 times). Biggest win: 3–0 away at Le Mans (Fri 16 Oct). Heaviest defeat: 0–2 at home to Lyon. 1 of their 7 games have produced five goals or more. Current run: 4 straight matches over 2.5 goals. They are unbeaten in 4.
Streaks read louder than they predict: our break study found a three-game goals run carries roughly ±4.6 points of signal — real, but small, and it resets entirely after a long lay-off.
In 33 league games last season Toulouse's matches went over 2.5 goals 55% of the time. This season they're running hotter at 71%, up 17 points, though 7 games is a small sample to read much into.
Fixture links open our full rating for that match — form, head-to-head, goal timing and the score projection. How those are built is set out in the methodology.