Ratings updated 16:33 UK time · refreshed several times a day
First League · Friday, 6 November 2026 · 15:00 UK

Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia: prediction and stats

77%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
83%Septemvri Sofia, league games
92%Lokomotiv Sofia, league games
69%league
Septemvri Sofia Over 1.5 in 3 straight at home
53%Over 2.5 goals· close call
58%Septemvri Sofia, league games
50%Lokomotiv Sofia, league games
47%league
Septemvri Sofia Over 2.5 in 3 straight at home
30%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
17%Septemvri Sofia, league games
33%Lokomotiv Sofia, league games
24%league
53%Both teams to score: Yes· close call
50%Septemvri Sofia, league games
83%Lokomotiv Sofia, league games
46%league
55%Lokomotiv Sofia win· likely
23%Septemvri Sofia
22%Draw
55%Lokomotiv Sofia

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia (First League, Friday, 6 November 2026) 53% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with Septemvri Sofia 23%, the draw 22% and Lokomotiv Sofia 55%.

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Form this season

Septemvri Sofia

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (12)58%
Home (6)67%
Away (6)50%
Home games (6)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.02.2
Won 1 · drew 1 · lost 4 · both scored in 50%

Lokomotiv Sofia

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (12)50%
Home (6)50%
Away (6)50%
Away games (6)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.31.5
Won 1 · drew 4 · lost 1 · both scored in 83%

Latest results

Septemvri Sofia

27 OctACherno More Varna FirstL2–0
11 OctHDunav Ruse FirstL2–3
19 SeptHBotev Plovdiv FirstL0–3
14 SeptALudogorets FirstL2–1
4 SeptHBotev Vratsa FirstL2–3
28 AugASlavia Sofia FirstD1–1

Lokomotiv Sofia

24 OctHBotev Vratsa FirstD1–1
10 OctHLokomotiv Plovdiv FirstD1–1
20 SeptASpartak Varna FirstW0–1
16 SeptHCSKA Sofia FirstL0–2
11 SeptACherno More Varna FirstD2–2
6 SeptHLudogorets FirstL1–2

First and second half

This gameSeptemvri SofiaLokomotiv SofiaLeague
Goal in the 1st half67%70%72%65%
Goal in the 2nd half78%82%82%75%
Goal in both halves56%58%60%51%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 44% this game (league: 2nd half 44%).

This game = our chance. Septemvri Sofia: last 50 games, Lokomotiv Sofia: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

27 Apr 26Lokomotiv Sofia 1–1 Septemvri SofiaU2.5
17 Mar 26Lokomotiv Sofia 3–0 Septemvri SofiaO2.5
29 Aug 25Septemvri Sofia 1–0 Lokomotiv SofiaU2.5
20 May 25Septemvri Sofia 0–2 Lokomotiv SofiaU2.5
8 Dec 24Lokomotiv Sofia 1–2 Septemvri SofiaO2.5
12 Aug 24Septemvri Sofia 0–1 Lokomotiv SofiaU2.5

More: Septemvri Sofia season stats · Lokomotiv Sofia season stats · First League table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.