Ratings updated 18:46 UK time · refreshed several times a day
Premyer Liqa · Friday, 6 November 2026 · 16:00 UK

Neftchi Baku vs Kapaz: prediction and stats

77%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
78%Neftchi Baku, league games
75%Kapaz, league games
72%league
Kapaz Over 1.5 in 4 straight away
54%Over 2.5 goals· close call
67%Neftchi Baku, league games
25%Kapaz, league games
51%league
33%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
56%Neftchi Baku, league games
13%Kapaz, league games
29%league
50%Both teams to score: Yes· close call
56%Neftchi Baku, league games
50%Kapaz, league games
48%league
69%Neftchi Baku win· likely
69%Neftchi Baku
19%Draw
12%Kapaz

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Neftchi Baku vs Kapaz (Premyer Liqa, Friday, 6 November 2026) 54% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with Neftchi Baku 69%, the draw 19% and Kapaz 12%.

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Form this season

Neftchi Baku

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (9)67%
Home (4)50%
Away (5)80%
Home games (4)
Last 4●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game2.50.5
Won 2 · drew 2 · lost 0 · both scored in 50%

Kapaz

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (8)25%
Home (5)20%
Away (3)33%
Away games (3)
Last 3●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.31.0
Won 2 · drew 0 · lost 1 · both scored in 33%

Latest results

Neftchi Baku

24 OctHTuran PremyD1–1
17 OctAQarabag PremyD3–3
9 OctHSabah FA PremyD0–0
18 SeptAQabala PremyW0–3
11 SeptAImisli FK PremyW2–3
5 SeptHSafa Baku PremyW4–1

Kapaz

24 OctASafa Baku PremyW1–2
18 OctHZira PremyD1–1
9 OctAAraz PremyW0–2
20 SeptHSumqayıt PremyD1–1
12 SeptHQabala PremyW1–0
4 SeptHŞamaxı FK PremyL1–4

First and second half

This gameNeftchi BakuKapazLeague
Goal in the 1st half66%68%64%66%
Goal in the 2nd half74%72%76%74%
Goal in both halves48%52%44%49%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 45% this game (league: 2nd half 47%).

This game = our chance. Neftchi Baku: last 50 games, Kapaz: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

23 May 26Kapaz 0–1 Neftchi BakuU2.5
15 Feb 26Kapaz 1–3 Neftchi BakuO2.5
1 Nov 25Neftchi Baku 5–1 KapazO2.5
4 May 25Neftchi Baku 2–2 KapazO2.5
5 Mar 25Kapaz 1–0 Neftchi BakuU2.5
15 Dec 24Neftchi Baku 2–1 KapazO2.5

More: Neftchi Baku season stats · Kapaz season stats · Premyer Liqa table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.