Ratings updated 01:09 UK time · refreshed several times a day
Serie A · Friday, 6 November 2026 · 00:30 UK

Cruzeiro vs Bahia: prediction and stats

77%Over 1.5 goals· our call
79%Cruzeiro, league games
81%Bahia, league games
75%league
53%Over 2.5 goals· our call
63%Cruzeiro, league games
50%Bahia, league games
49%league
27%Over 3.5 goals· no pick: under our 45% bar
28%Cruzeiro, league games
22%Bahia, league games
25%league
56%Both teams to score: Yes· our call
63%Cruzeiro, league games
63%Bahia, league games
53%league
53%Cruzeiro win· most likely result
53%Cruzeiro
25%Draw
22%Bahia

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Cruzeiro vs Bahia (Serie A, Friday, 6 November 2026) 53% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with Cruzeiro 53%, the draw 25% and Bahia 22%.

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Form this season

Cruzeiro

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (43)63%
Home (22)50%
Away (21)76%
Home games (22)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.70.9
Won 13 · drew 4 · lost 5 · both scored in 50%

Bahia

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (32)50%
Home (16)50%
Away (16)50%
Away games (16)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.41.4
Won 6 · drew 5 · lost 5 · both scored in 63%

Latest results

Cruzeiro

24 OctHRemo SerAW1–0
18 OctAGremio SerAW2–4
13 OctARB Bragantino SerAL4–2
8 OctHSao Paulo SerAW2–0
20 SeptAVitoria SerAW1–3
13 SeptASantos SerAL2–1

Bahia

25 OctASantos SerAD1–1
18 OctHFlamengo SerAL0–3
11 OctHMirassol SerAW1–0
9 OctAPalmeiras SerAL1–0
20 SeptAAtletico Paranaense SerAL2–1
15 SeptHRemo SerAW2–1

First and second half

This gameCruzeiroBahiaLeague
Goal in the 1st half76%76%84%72%
Goal in the 2nd half76%80%68%77%
Goal in both halves58%62%56%56%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 43% this game (league: 2nd half 43%).

This game = our chance. Cruzeiro: last 50 games, Bahia: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

10 May 26Bahia 1–2 CruzeiroO2.5
16 Sept 25Bahia 1–2 CruzeiroO2.5
18 Apr 25Cruzeiro 3–0 BahiaO2.5
19 Oct 24Cruzeiro 1–1 BahiaU2.5
23 Jun 24Bahia 4–1 CruzeiroO2.5
26 Oct 23Cruzeiro 3–0 BahiaO2.5

More: Cruzeiro season stats · Bahia season stats · Serie A table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.