Ratings updated 00:10 UK time · refreshed several times a day
Serie B (Italy) · Friday, 6 November 2026 · 19:30 UK
Ascoli vs Palermo: prediction and stats
76%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
67%Ascoli, league games
89%Palermo, league games
76%league
Ascoli Over 1.5 in 3 straight at home
Palermo Over 1.5 in 9 straight away
51%Over 2.5 goals· close call
33%Ascoli, league games
67%Palermo, league games
52%league
29%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
22%Ascoli, league games
44%Palermo, league games
28%league
57%Both teams to score: Yes· likely
56%Ascoli, league games
78%Palermo, league games
56%league
43%Palermo win· close call
31%Ascoli
26%Draw
43%Palermo
The model reads goals, not team news.
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CompactStats rates Ascoli vs Palermo (Serie B, Italy, Friday, 6 November 2026) 51% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with Ascoli 31%, the draw 26% and Palermo 43%.
Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.
What our percentages mean
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.