Ratings updated 22:29 UK time · refreshed several times a day

Championship · Wednesday, 4 November 2026 · 19:45 UK

Wrexham vs Middlesbrough: prediction and stats

Over 1.5Over 2.5Over 3.5BTTSW/D/L

82%Over 1.5 goals· our call

92%Wrexham, league games

83%Middlesbrough, league games

76%league

Wrexham Over 1.5 in 10 straight at home

Middlesbrough Over 1.5 in 4 straight away

60%Over 2.5 goals· our call

50%Wrexham, league games

75%Middlesbrough, league games

56%league

Wrexham Over 2.5 in 3 straight at home

Middlesbrough Over 2.5 in 4 straight away

39%Over 3.5 goals· no pick: under our 45% bar

17%Wrexham, league games

58%Middlesbrough, league games

31%league

Middlesbrough Over 3.5 in 3 straight away

66%Both teams to score: Yes· our call

67%Wrexham, league games

83%Middlesbrough, league games

60%league

Wrexham BTTS in 7 straight at home

Middlesbrough BTTS in 3 straight away

49%Middlesbrough win· most likely result

29%Wrexham

21%Draw

49%Middlesbrough

The model reads goals, not team news.

CompactStats rates Wrexham vs Middlesbrough (Championship, Wednesday, 4 November 2026) 60% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with Wrexham 29%, the draw 21% and Middlesbrough 49%.

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Form this season

Wrexham

Over 2.5 this season · league games

All (12)50%

Home (6)67%

Away (6)33%

Home games (6)

Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5

	For	Against
Goals a game	1.7	1.3

Won 2 · drew 2 · lost 2 · both scored in 100%

Middlesbrough

Over 2.5 this season · league games

All (12)75%

Home (6)83%

Away (6)67%

Away games (6)

Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5

	For	Against
Goals a game	2.2	1.3

Won 3 · drew 2 · lost 1 · both scored in 83%

Latest results

Wrexham

24 OctABlackburn ChampL2–0

17 OctHPreston ChampW4–1

13 OctHWest Brom ChampL1–2

10 OctADerby ChampD1–1

19 SeptHSouthampton ChampW2–1

11 SeptAWest Ham ChampL6–0

Middlesbrough

23 OctABolton ChampW1–5

17 OctHCardiff ChampD2–2

13 OctAStoke City ChampW2–3

10 OctHWolves ChampW1–0

19 SeptABirmingham ChampD2–2

15 SeptHMillwall ChampD2–2

First and second half

74%goal in the 1st halfleague 73%

78%goal in the 2nd halfleague 77%

60%goal in both halvesleague 56%

2nd 43%half with most goalsleague 2nd 41%

Head to head

7 Aug 26Middlesbrough 1–0 WrexhamU2.5

2 May 26Wrexham 2–2 MiddlesbroughO2.5

25 Oct 25Middlesbrough 1–1 WrexhamU2.5

More: Wrexham season stats · Middlesbrough season stats · Championship table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.

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