Ratings updated 13:30 UK time · refreshed several times a day
Primera Clausura · Wednesday, 4 November 2026 · 22:00 UK

Libertad Asuncion vs Cerro Porteno: prediction and stats

73%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
67%Libertad Asuncion, league games
76%Cerro Porteno, league games
71%league
Cerro Porteno Over 1.5 in 7 straight away
53%Under 2.5 goals· close call
51%Libertad Asuncion, league games
57%Cerro Porteno, league games
55%league
Cerro Porteno Over 2.5 in 3 straight away
27%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
23%Libertad Asuncion, league games
19%Cerro Porteno, league games
29%league
53%Both teams to score: Yes· close call
49%Libertad Asuncion, league games
46%Cerro Porteno, league games
52%league
45%Cerro Porteno win· close call
28%Libertad Asuncion
27%Draw
45%Cerro Porteno

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Libertad Asuncion vs Cerro Porteno (Primera Clausura, Wednesday, 4 November 2026) 47% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with Libertad Asuncion 28%, the draw 27% and Cerro Porteno 45%.

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Form this season

Libertad Asuncion

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (39)49%
Home (19)47%
Away (20)50%
Home games (19)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.81.0
Won 11 · drew 5 · lost 3 · both scored in 53%

Cerro Porteno

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (37)43%
Home (19)26%
Away (18)61%
Away games (18)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game1.61.3
Won 8 · drew 3 · lost 7 · both scored in 61%

Latest results

Libertad Asuncion

31 OctAClub Sp. San Lorenzo PrimeL2–1
23 OctHSportivo Luqueno PrimeW1–0
18 OctASportivo Trinidense PrimeL1–0
11 OctHClub Guarani PrimeD2–2
5 OctADeportivo Recoleta PrimeW1–2
28 SeptHOlimpia PrimeL0–1

Cerro Porteno

25 OctAClub Sp. San Lorenzo PrimeW1–3
18 OctHSportivo Ameliano PrimeD2–2
10 OctASportivo Luqueno PrimeW0–3
5 OctH2 de Mayo PrimeL0–2
26 SeptASportivo Trinidense PrimeL2–1
19 SeptHRubio NU PrimeW1–0

First and second half

This gameLibertad AsuncionCerro PortenoLeague
Goal in the 1st half66%66%66%66%
Goal in the 2nd half79%82%70%80%
Goal in both halves51%50%44%56%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 45% this game (league: 2nd half 45%).

This game = our chance. Libertad Asuncion: last 50 games, Cerro Porteno: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

30 Aug 26Cerro Porteno 1–1 Libertad AsuncionU2.5
21 Mar 26Libertad Asuncion 2–3 Cerro PortenoO2.5
24 Jan 26Cerro Porteno 1–1 Libertad AsuncionU2.5
23 Nov 25Cerro Porteno 1–0 Libertad AsuncionU2.5
31 Aug 25Libertad Asuncion 1–1 Cerro PortenoU2.5
6 Apr 25Libertad Asuncion 1–0 Cerro PortenoU2.5

More: Libertad Asuncion season stats · Cerro Porteno season stats · Primera Clausura table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.