Promotion League · Wednesday, 4 November 2026 · 19:00 UK time
CompactStats rates FC Schaffhausen vs Biel-Bienne (Promotion League, Wednesday, 4 November 2026) 60% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with FC Schaffhausen 29%, the draw 26% and Biel-Bienne 45%.
| Market | Our chance | Call |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | Over |
| Over 3.5 goals | 41% | – |
| Both teams to score | 59% | Yes |
| FC Schaffhausen win | 29% | |
| Draw | 26% | |
| Biel-Bienne win | 45% | Pick |
| Goal in the 1st half | 79% | |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 86% | |
| Goal in both halves | 67% |
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| Team | Games | O2.5 | O3.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Schaffhausen | 11 | 73% | 36% | 55% |
| Biel-Bienne | 12 | 58% | 50% | 58% |
| This match | League | |
|---|---|---|
| Goal in the 1st half | 79% | 80% |
| 2+ goals in the 1st half | 44% | 48% |
| Goal in the 2nd half | 86% | 86% |
| 2+ goals in the 2nd half | 61% | 61% |
| Goal in both halves | 67% | 69% |
| Half with most goals | 2nd 47% | 2nd 48% |
| Team (own games) | 1st half goal | 2nd half goal | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Schaffhausen | 78% | 82% | 50 |
| Biel-Bienne | 76% | 90% | 50 |
League = last season and this season combined (this season alone 82% in the 1st half). Every match ranked: first half goals today · second half · both halves · tomorrow.
More: FC Schaffhausen season stats · Biel-Bienne season stats · Promotion League table and form
League. Promotion League has had over 2.5 goals in 69% of its games. That is the starting point.
Each side. FC Schaffhausen 8 of 11 (4 of 5 at home), Biel-Bienne 7 of 12 (2 of 6 away). Steadied toward the league rate, so a few odd games can't swing it: 70% and 65%.
Last season. Still blended in until game 40: 64% and 67%.
Mix. 40% home side, 40% away side, 20% league: 66%.
Head to head. 2 meetings in 3 years, 0% over 2.5 goals. A small 5% nudge: 63%.
Goal model. Expected goals 1.21 (FC Schaffhausen) v 1.55 (Biel-Bienne) give 52%; 30% weight: 60%.
Worked from the same inputs as the rating.
They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.