Ratings updated 06:05 UK time · refreshed several times a day
Primera A · Wednesday, 4 November 2026 · 01:00 UK

Deportivo Pasto vs Jaguares: prediction and stats

72%Over 1.5 goals· very likely
68%Deportivo Pasto, league games
77%Jaguares, league games
70%league
53%Under 2.5 goals· close call
51%Deportivo Pasto, league games
46%Jaguares, league games
54%league
24%Over 3.5 goals· no prediction: under our 45% bar
19%Deportivo Pasto, league games
31%Jaguares, league games
22%league
50%Both teams to score: Yes· close call
46%Deportivo Pasto, league games
54%Jaguares, league games
51%league
55%Deportivo Pasto win· likely
55%Deportivo Pasto
26%Draw
19%Jaguares

The model reads goals, not team news.

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CompactStats rates Deportivo Pasto vs Jaguares (Primera A, Wednesday, 4 November 2026) 47% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with Deportivo Pasto 55%, the draw 26% and Jaguares 19%.

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Form this season

Deportivo Pasto

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (37)49%
Home (18)33%
Away (19)63%
Home games (18)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game0.91.0
Won 7 · drew 3 · lost 8 · both scored in 39%

Jaguares

Over 2.5 this season · league games
All (35)54%
Home (18)50%
Away (17)59%
Away games (17)
Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5
ForAgainst
Goals a game0.72.2
Won 0 · drew 3 · lost 14 · both scored in 53%

Latest results

Deportivo Pasto

31 OctABucaramanga PrimAL2–1
26 OctADeportes Tolima PrimAW0–1
23 OctAAtletico Nacional PrimAL3–0
20 OctHAlianza Valledupar PrimAL0–1
4 OctHFortaleza FC PrimAD0–0
26 SeptAChico PrimAL3–0

Jaguares

30 OctADeportivo Pereira PrimAL1–0
26 OctHLlaneros PrimAW1–0
22 OctASanta Fe PrimAL2–1
18 OctAMillonarios PrimAL4–1
11 OctHDeportes Tolima PrimAW3–2
3 OctAÁguilas Doradas PrimAL2–0

First and second half

This gameDeportivo PastoJaguaresLeague
Goal in the 1st half70%78%70%67%
Goal in the 2nd half74%72%80%73%
Goal in both halves53%56%54%49%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 42% this game (league: 2nd half 41%).

This game = our chance. Deportivo Pasto: last 50 games, Jaguares: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

17 Apr 26Jaguares 2–3 Deportivo PastoO2.5
3 Aug 24Jaguares 0–0 Deportivo PastoU2.5
5 Feb 24Deportivo Pasto 1–1 JaguaresU2.5
21 Oct 23Jaguares 1–0 Deportivo PastoU2.5
9 Sept 23Deportivo Pasto 1–0 JaguaresU2.5
8 May 23Deportivo Pasto 4–0 JaguaresO2.5

More: Deportivo Pasto season stats · Jaguares season stats · Primera A table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.