Ratings updated 23:03 UK time · refreshed several times a day

Serie A · Wednesday, 4 November 2026 · 22:30 UK

Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama: prediction and stats

Over 1.5Over 2.5Over 3.5BTTSW/D/L

73%Over 1.5 goals· our call

78%Atletico Paranaense, league games

68%Vasco DA Gama, league games

75%league

Atletico Paranaense Over 1.5 in 7 straight at home

52%Under 2.5 goals· our call

50%Atletico Paranaense, league games

50%Vasco DA Gama, league games

51%league

25%Over 3.5 goals· no pick: under our 45% bar

28%Atletico Paranaense, league games

23%Vasco DA Gama, league games

25%league

53%Both teams to score: Yes· our call

59%Atletico Paranaense, league games

55%Vasco DA Gama, league games

54%league

46%Atletico Paranaense win· most likely result

46%Atletico Paranaense

27%Draw

26%Vasco DA Gama

The model reads goals, not team news.

CompactStats rates Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama (Serie A, Wednesday, 4 November 2026) 48% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with Atletico Paranaense 46%, the draw 27% and Vasco DA Gama 26%.

Open this match in the app →

In the app: live scores, every market including half-time goals, filters by league, cup and venue, and a slip you can share.

Form this season

Atletico Paranaense

Over 2.5 this season · league games

All (32)50%

Home (16)44%

Away (16)56%

Home games (16)

Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5

	For	Against
Goals a game	1.7	0.9

Won 9 · drew 5 · lost 2 · both scored in 56%

Vasco DA Gama

Over 2.5 this season · league games

All (40)50%

Home (21)52%

Away (19)47%

Away games (19)

Last 5●●●●●● = went over 2.5

	For	Against
Goals a game	1.0	1.4

Won 3 · drew 7 · lost 9 · both scored in 58%

Latest results

Atletico Paranaense

24 OctAVitoria SerAD1–1

17 OctHPalmeiras SerAL0–2

12 OctAChapecoense-sc SerAW1–4

9 OctHAtletico-MG SerAD2–2

20 SeptHBahia SerAW2–1

12 SeptACoritiba SerAD3–3

Vasco DA Gama

24 OctHCorinthians SerAW3–2

21 OctHBoca Juniors SudamL1–3

18 OctASao Paulo SerAL1–0

14 OctABoca Juniors SudamW0–1

10 OctHRemo SerAD0–0

8 OctABotafogo SerAW1–2

First and second half

	This game	Atletico Paranaense	Vasco DA Gama	League
Goal in the 1st half	73%	80%	66%	72%
Goal in the 2nd half	76%	72%	76%	77%
Goal in both halves	57%	62%	54%	56%

Half with most goals: 2nd half 44% this game (league: 2nd half 43%).

This game = our chance. Atletico Paranaense: last 50 games, Vasco DA Gama: last 50 games, every competition. League = last season and this season.

Head to head

11 May 26Vasco DA Gama 1–0 Atletico ParanaenseU2.5

12 Sept 24Atletico Paranaense 2–1 Vasco DA GamaO2.5

30 Aug 24Vasco DA Gama 2–1 Atletico ParanaenseO2.5

27 Aug 24Vasco DA Gama 2–1 Atletico ParanaenseO2.5

5 May 24Atletico Paranaense 1–0 Vasco DA GamaU2.5

25 Nov 23Atletico Paranaense 0–0 Vasco DA GamaU2.5

More: Atletico Paranaense season stats · Vasco DA Gama season stats · Serie A table and form

Built from both teams’ form this season, last season’s record and the league’s level, plus a goal model, checked against real results.

What our percentages mean

They are calibrated chances: a 60% call should land about six times in ten and miss about four. Ratings freeze before kick-off and are graded afterwards. The model reads goals, not team news, so it knows nothing about injuries, rotation or weather. Stats, not advice · 18+.

Was this page useful?